北京山区森林火灾蔓延风险评估
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3006804);中央高校基本科研业务费资助(3142024007)


Assessment of forest fire spread risk in the Mountainous District, Beijing
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)是指林火蔓延及其对建筑物造成破坏损失的可能性,可以明确林火容易蔓延且对建筑物造成破坏损失严重的区域。科学评估森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物),可以为森林火灾精准化防控提供科学依据,具有重要的理论和应用价值。以北京山区(房山、门头沟、昌平、延庆、怀柔、密云、平谷)为研究对象,基于"危险性-暴露度-脆弱性"风险评估框架,开展北京山区多尺度森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)评估。应用层次分析法和熵权法相结合的主客观赋权法确定指标权重,加权综合评价法和面积加权平均法计算多尺度森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)指数。通过自然断点分级法划分等级,空间自相关分析探讨森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)指数的空间关联模式。研究结果表明:(1)建筑物暴露度的综合权重达到0.5123,是影响森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)的主要因素。(2)北京山区森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)评估结果显示,高风险区域在小班、乡镇、区级尺度上分别占比3.82%、13.30%、17.95%。(3)北京山区小班尺度森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)指数空间异质性显著,表现出集聚分布的规律,高-高集聚型小班16641个。研究结果发现北京山区森林火灾蔓延风险(建筑物)高风险小班以侧柏、油松、灌木林为主,建议有针对性地加强建筑物密集区、森林-城镇交界域的森林可燃物管理工作。

    Abstract:

    Forest fire spread risk (buildings) refers to the possibility of forest fire spreading and causing damage and loss to buildings. It can identify areas where forest fire is prone to spread and cause serious damage and loss to buildings. Scientific assessment of forest fire spread risk (buildings) can provide scientific basis for accurate prevention and control of forest fires, and can bring important theoretical and application value. The mountainous districts of Beijing (Fangshan, Mentougou, Changping, Yanqing, Huairou, Miyun, Pinggu) were used as the research object. The multi-scale forest fire spread risk (buildings) assessment in the mountainous districts of Beijing was carried out based on the risk assessment framework of "hazard-exposure-vulnerability". The subjective and objective weighting method of AHP and entropy weight method were used to determine the index weight, and the weighted comprehensive evaluation method and the area weighted average method were used to calculate the multi-scale forest fire spread risk (buildings) index. The natural breakpoint grading method was used to classify levels, and the spatial autocorrelation analysis method was used to explore the spatial correlation pattern of the forest fire spread risk (buildings) index. The research results show that: (1) The comprehensive weight of building exposure reaches 0.5123, which is the main factor affecting the forest fire spread risk (buildings). (2) The assessment results of forest fire spread risk (buildings) in Beijing Mountainous District showed that the high risk areas accounted for 3.82%, 13.30%, and 17.95% at the subcompartment, township, and district scales, respectively. (3) The spatial heterogeneity of forest fire spread risk (buildings) index at the subcompartment scale in the mountainous districts of Beijing was significant, showing the law of agglomeration distribution, with 16,641 HH (high-high) cluster subcompartments. The results showed that the high-risk subcompartments of forest fire spread risk (buildings) were mainly Platycladus orientalis, Pinus tabuliformis and shrubbery in the mountainous districts of Beijing. It is suggested to strengthen the forest fuel management in the built-up areas and the border areas between the field and the city.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

王博,杨雪清,蒋春颖,赖光辉,陈锋,刘晓东.北京山区森林火灾蔓延风险评估.生态学报,2025,45(2):813~821

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数: