绿洲化背景下毛乌素沙地植被变化趋势及其驱动力
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国家重点研发计划(2022YFF1300801)


Analysis of vegetation variation and driving mechanism in Mu Us Sandy Land under the background of oasization
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The National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)

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    摘要:

    退耕还林还草工程的实施使得毛乌素沙地生态环境显著改善,但过度密植使该区域地下水资源承载能力到达上限,部分地区植被出现退化现象。为探究毛乌素沙地区域植被动态变化趋势及驱动机制,利用 MODIS 归一化差值植被指数(NDVI),土地利用及气象数据,采用趋势与突变分析、Hurst指数、偏相关分析等方法旨在厘清毛乌素沙地绿洲化过程中,植被变化态势及其与气候变化的响应规律,同时揭示人类活动主导的土地利用变化对绿洲化过程的影响机制。结果表明:(1)2000-2022年生长季,毛乌素沙地植被改善明显,76% 以上区域NDVI呈现极显著增加趋势。(2)毛乌素沙地以草地为主,突变与趋势分析发现区域NDVI增速在 2009年后开始变缓,草地未来存在退化的潜在风险。(3)植被在生长季对气候的响应存在 0-2 个月的滞后,区域气候的暖湿化与降水量分配是促进植被生长与空间分异的关键,而低温在一定程度抑制了各类植被的生长。(4)生态恢复工程的实施有效保护了草地并促进裸地(约占区域总面积的 2.25%)向草地的转移,同时也有部分草地(约占区域总面积的 0.73%)转化为农田。探究了绿洲化背景下毛乌素沙地植被变化趋势,揭示了气候变化及人类活动主导的土地利用变化对绿洲化过程的影响机制,结果能为毛乌素沙地植被恢复策略制定提供数据支撑。

    Abstract:

    The ecological environment of the Mu Us Sandy Land has seen significant improvement thanks to the Grain for Green Project. However, excessive dense planting has strained groundwater resources to their carrying capacity, leading to vegetation degradation in certain areas. To explore the dynamic patterns and driving mechanisms of vegetation changes in this region, this study utilized MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land use, and meteorological data, applying methods like trend and mutation analysis, Hurst index, and partial correlation analysis. These approaches aimed to clarify the vegetation change patterns and their responses to climate change during the oasification process in the Mu Us Sandy Land, while also revealing the impacts of land use changes driven by human activities on this process. The key findings include: (1) From 2000 to 2022, vegetation during the growing season improved significantly, with NDVI showing notable increases in more than 76% of the area. (2) Grassland remains the dominant land cover in the region, but trend and mutation analyses revealed that the growth rate of NDVI slowed after 2009, indicating a potential risk of future grassland degradation. (3) Vegetation responses to climatic factors during the growing season exhibited a lag of 0-2 months, with warming and humidifying climate conditions and precipitation distribution identified as critical drivers of vegetation growth and spatial differentiation, while low temperature partially inhibited growth across vegetation types. (4) Ecological restoration projects have effectively preserved grasslands, converting approximately 2.25% of bare land into grassland, although about 0.73% of grassland has been transformed into farmland. This study offers a comprehensive analysis of vegetation change patterns under oasification and underscores the influence mechanisms of climate change and human-driven land use changes. The findings offer valuable data support for developing vegetation restoration strategies in the Mu Us Sandy Land.

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曹菲,周静,辛雨润,熊鸿,王一浩,王晨沣,刘梦云,王小平.绿洲化背景下毛乌素沙地植被变化趋势及其驱动力.生态学报,2025,45(9):4431~4445

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