黄河流域旅游业绿色发展效率动态演变及其驱动因素
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山西省哲学社会科学规划课题(2023YJ082);山西省研究生精品课程项目(2023YZ28);2023年度山西财经大学校级项目(6号)


Dynamic evolution and driving factors of green development efficiency of tourism industry in the Yellow River Basin
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    摘要:

    推动旅游业绿色发展是新时代响应"双碳"目标与促进高质量发展的的应有之义。采用超效率SBM模型与多时空尺度分析方法,定量考察了2010-2020年黄河流域沿线城市旅游业绿色发展效率的时空格局与动态演进特征,并借助面板分位数回归模型揭示旅游业绿色发展效率与各驱动因素的动态响应。结果表明:①随着时间推移,黄河流域旅游业绿色发展效率表现出曲折式动态变化轨迹,且地区间的非均衡性一直存在,但总体上,旅游业绿色发展效率差异存在动态收敛趋势;空间上效率中等区逐渐占据主流,且呈现出"黄河上游-中下游"的递变分异格局。②时空动态特征方面,流域旅游业绿色发展效率的局部空间结构与依赖关系网络相对稳定,但在迁移方向上协同与竞争并存;在时空跃迁过程中,多数市域单元表现出较强的转移惰性或时空惯性,表明其空间状态在短时期内难以改变。③从影响因素来看,旅游经济规模、对外开放、城镇化水平对旅游业绿色发展效率低分位地区的影响较大,产业结构、交通便捷程度以及科学技术等因素的优化对高分位地区效率等级提升的正向边际效应较大。研究结果可为优化黄河流域旅游业绿色发展格局以及促进区域生态保护与高质量发展提供一定参考。

    Abstract:

    Promoting the green development of tourism industry is the due meaning of responding to the targets of "carbon peak and carbon neutrality" and achieving high-quality development in the new era. The super-efficiency SBM model and multi-spatio-temporal analysis methods were used to quantitatively explore the spatio-temporal pattern and dynamic evolution characteristics of tourism green development efficiency of cities along the Yellow River Basin from 2010 to 2020, and the the dynamic response relationship between the tourism green development efficiency and the driving factors was revealed by adopting panel quantile regression model. The main results show that: (1) With the passage of time, the green development efficiency of tourism industry in the Yellow River Basin showed a tortuous dynamic change trend, and the non-equilibrium between regions always existed, but there was a dynamic convergence trend in the differences of green development efficiency of tourism industry. In terms of spatial distribution, the number of areas with medium efficiency occupied the mainstream, showing a gradual differentiation pattern from the upper reaches to the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River. (2) Regarding spatio-temporal dynamic characteristics, both the local spatial structure and the network of dependency relationships of tourism green development efficiency in the Yellow River Basin were relatively stable, but there was a situation of synergistic growth and spatial competition in the direction of migration. (3) In the process of spatio-temporal transition, most municipal units showed strong transfer inertia or spatio-temporal inertia, indicating that their local spatial states are difficult to change in a short period of time. (4) From the perspective of driving factors, tourism economy, industrial structure, science and technology, transportation convenience and urbanization level jointly affect the evolution of the efficiency pattern of green development of the tourism industry in the Yellow River Basin, but there are differences in the effects of each influencing factor in different quartiles. Specifically, the low-quantile units of green development efficiency in tourism industry were mainly influenced by the scale of tourism economy, the degree of opening to the outside world, and the level of urbanization; while for the units with high-quantile, the optimization of factors such as industrial structure, transportation convenience, and science and technology had a greater positive marginal effect on the efficiency improvement of such areas. Finally, according to the above research results, the relevant policy recommendations were put forward, which can provide some reference for optimizing the green development efficiency pattern of tourism industry in the Yellow River Basin and promoting regional ecological protection and high-quality development.

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程占红,王峥,牛莉芹.黄河流域旅游业绿色发展效率动态演变及其驱动因素.生态学报,2025,45(2):511~524

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