2000-2020年京津冀地区国土空间多功能权衡强度时空演变及影响机制
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河北省重点研发计划项目(21373807D)


Spatio-temporal dynamics and influencing factors of trade-off intensity among territorial space functions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region (2000-2020)
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan),省、部研究计划基金

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    摘要:

    厘清国土空间多功能相互关系及影响因素,对实现国土空间可持续利用与保护具有重要意义。以京津冀地区为例,揭示了其国土空间多功能时空变化特征,利用Spearman相关性分析、均方根误差和地理探测器诊断了多功能之间相互关系与权衡强度,并探析了多功能权衡强度影响机制。结果表明,生产功能和生活功能主要集中在东南部平原区,生态功能主要集中在西北山区,2000-2020年生产功能和生活功能提升而生态功能呈退化态势。国土空间多功能权衡强度均值表现为"生活功能-生态功能">"生产功能-生态功能">"生产功能-生活功能"。2000-2020年生产与生活功能间的权衡强度增强,从0.038上升至0.060;而生产与生态功能间权衡强度减弱,从0.190下降至0.180;生活与生态功能间的权衡强度轻微减弱,从0.206下降至0.205。京津冀西北区是生产与生态功能以及生活与生态功能权衡强度高值区,集中在承德、秦皇岛和北京市。东南部平原区是生产与生活功能权衡强度高值区,尤其是衡水、邯郸和邢台等地权衡明显加剧。国土空间多功能权衡强度空间分异受土地利用、自然因素和社会经济因素共同影响,其中土地利用强度是最主要影响因子,各影响因素在不同年份影响程度略有不同。研究结果可以帮助决策者将国土空间多功能权衡理念纳入国土空间规划与管理。

    Abstract:

    Understanding the relationships among multiple territorial space functions and their influencing factors is of great significance to achieve the sustainable development and protection of territorial space. By taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as a case study area, this study explored the spatio-temporal evolution process of multiple territorial space functions at the grid scale by assimilating datasets from multiple sources. Then, the trade-offs and synergy among multiple territorial space functions were identified by Spearman correlation analysis and root mean squared error (RMSE). Furthermore, geographic detector model was applied to explore influencing factors associated with the trade-off intensity of territorial space functions. The results revealed that the high value areas of production function and living function were mainly concentrated in the southeastern area, while the ecological function in the northwestern area was higher. In terms of temporal evolution, the results showed a trend of increasing grain production, non-agricultural production, living maintenance, residential support and water conservation, but decreasing carbon storage, soil conservation and habitat quality from 2000 to 2020. Additionally, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has the highest trade-off intensity between living function and ecological function, followed by production function and ecological function, and the lowest trade-off intensity between production function and living function. During 2000 and 2020, the trade-off intensity between living function and ecological function slightly weakened from 0.206 to 0.205, and the trade-off intensity between production function and ecological function weakened from 0.190 to 0.180. However, the trade-off intensity between production function and living function increased from 0.038 to 0.060. The strong trade-off intensity between living function and ecological function, as well as between living function and ecological function, primarily occurred in the northwest of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, especially in Chengde, Qinhuangdao, and Beijing. The southeastern plains area was the main agglomeration area with strong trade-off intensity between production function and living function, especially in Hengshui, Handan and Xingtai. The natural factors, land use factors, and socioeconomic factors were the common factors affecting the spatial differentiation of multifunctional trade-off intensity. Land use factors, especially land use intensity, had the greatest impacts on the trade-offs among multiple territorial space functions. The influence intensity of each factor is slightly different in different years. Policymakers are suggested to optimize the territorial space development and protection pattern by coordinating territorial space composite functions. Thus, the results of this study provide a quantitative reference and policy decision basis to help mitigate conflicts and further improve the harmonization of territorial space.

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周亚鹏,刘欣,刘琳,李富平,李小光,白艳.2000-2020年京津冀地区国土空间多功能权衡强度时空演变及影响机制.生态学报,2024,44(3):977~991

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