科尔沁沙地湖泊消涨对气候变化的响应
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鲁东大学地理与规划学院,中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,鲁东大学地理与规划学院,鲁东大学地理与规划学院

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国家自然科学基金(41271193);国家科技支撑计划(2011BAC07B02);鲁东大学学科建设项目资助


Responses of lake fluctuation to climate change in Horqin Sandy Land
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Ludong University,,,

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    摘要:

    湖泊是受气候变化影响显著的地理单元之一,不同地区湖泊消涨与气候变化关系的分析是理解陆地水文过程对未来气候变化响应的关键之一。对干旱、半干旱地区而言,湖泊消涨对气候变化的响应是干旱区生态保护和未来可持续发展的重要指征。气候变化对湖泊的影响在不同的区域已有较多的研究,但是针对湖泊群且基于湖泊大小分级和不同降水强度的对应研究还很鲜见。有鉴于此,作者在RS和GIS技术支持下,采用湖泊大小和降水强度分级的方法,分析了科尔沁沙地湖泊群消涨与气候变化的关系。在1971-2010年间,年均气温波动升高和降水量波动减少是该区域的主要气候变化特点。从5a移动平均分析来看,1990年是气温变化的转折点,1991-2010年的平均气温(7.36±0.55)℃,高于全球同期平均增温0.52℃。在1975-2009年间,科尔沁沙地湖泊面积和数量的变化趋势呈抛物线型减少,在1995年湖泊面积与数量最高。进入21世纪,湖泊面积萎缩、数量减少呈明显的加快趋势。到2009年,面积 > 0.05km2湖泊数量仅为81个,不足高峰期(1995年)的11%;湖泊总面积为4375.0hm2,不到1995年的26%。湖泊消涨主要受到年降水量波动影响,与年内降水分布格局无关,气温变化的影响不显著。

    Abstract:

    Lake is a geographical unit sensitive to climate change; it is an important aspect to understand the responses of terrestrial hydro-ecological process to future climate change in different regions. Especially, the lake variation is a significant indictor for ecological conservation and sustainable development in arid and semi-arid zone. Researches have indicated that lake fluctuation was influenced by climate change, but few analyzed the relationship between lake variation and climate change based on lake scale and precipitation classification. RS and GIS techniques were employed in this article to analyze the relationship between lake area/number and precipitation class in Horqin Sandy Land. Analysis showed that air temperature increase and annual precipitation reduction are two dominant characteristics in Horqin Sandy Land from 1971 to 2010. Five-year moving average analysis revealed that the annual mean air temperature had a turning point at 1990 and the mean value was (7.36±0.55)℃ from 1991 to 2010, higher than 0.52℃ of the global mean during same period. The lake area and number were changed in a pattern of parabola form 1975 to 2009, and the peaks of the both were at 1995. There was a rapid lake shrinkage in recent decade, and as a result the number and area of lakes with an area more than 0.05 km2 in 2009 was less than 11% and 26% of that in 1995, respectively. Lake variation was not affected by precipitation distribution in a year, but the amount of annual precipitation. The annual mean air temperature was not a significant factor to lake variation.

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常学礼,赵学勇,王玮,刘良旭.科尔沁沙地湖泊消涨对气候变化的响应.生态学报,2013,33(21):7002~7012

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