基于碳收支的长三角地区横向碳补偿方案研究
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1.南京农业大学公共管理学院;2.中国资源环境与发展研究院

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国家社会科学基金重点项目“构建优势互补、高质量发展的区域经济布局和国土空间体系研究”(批准号:23AZD032)。


Study on horizontal carbon compensation schemes based on carbon budget in the Yangtze River Delta
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1.College of Public Administration,Nanjing Agricultural University;2.China Institute of Resources,Environment and Development

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    摘要:

    横向碳补偿对促进区域协调发展和推动“双碳”目标实现具有重要意义。本研究以长三角地区为例,通过核算41市碳收支、碳排放效率与碳汇效率,建立基础方案、经济发展优先方案、生态保护优先方案和协调方案四种横向碳补偿方案,对比不同碳补偿方案效果,提出横向碳补偿实施路径。结果表明:(1)长三角地区碳收支系数仅为0.0576,碳排放与碳汇具有显著的空间集聚特征,碳排放高值区位于沿江的皖中、苏南及上海市,碳汇高值区则分布于皖南、浙南山区及苏中农田区。(2)碳排放效率高值区为上海市、苏州市等经济发达地区,而碳汇效率高值区为丽水市、泰州市等生态资源集聚地区。(3)碳补偿地区主要为上海市、苏州市等经济、人口密集的碳排放区,碳受偿地区主要为丽水市、黄山市等碳汇供给区。四种碳补偿方案下,补偿总资金分别达到474.9、482.29、548.44、558.58亿元,其中双效率调整机制下的协调方案更能兼顾效率与公平性,适于推动区域低碳协同发展。研究结果可为区域碳补偿政策的制定和实施提供实践参考。

    Abstract:

    Horizontal carbon compensation served as a crucial mechanism for advancing regional sustainable development and realizing China's "dual carbon" objectives. This study conducted a comprehensive assessment of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region, analyzed carbon budgets, emission efficiency, and sequestration efficiency across 41 cities. We developed and evaluated four distinct compensation frameworks: baseline, economy-oriented, ecology-oriented, and integrated models, subsequently derived actionable implementation strategies. The analysis revealed three key insights: (1) The YRD region exhibited an extremely low carbon budget coefficient of 0.0576, with significant spatial clustering of both emissions and sequestration. Carbon emission hotspots were concentrated in Shanghai, southern Jiangsu, and central Anhui along the Yangtze River, while carbon sequestration hotspots were predominantly located in southern Anhui's mountains, southern Zhejiang, and the agricultural areas of central Jiangsu. (2) Emission efficiency peaked in economically developed urban centers like Shanghai and Suzhou, contrasting with sequestration efficiency leaders such as Lishui and Taizhou. (3) Compensation obligations predominantly fell on high-emission, economically developed areas (e.g., Shanghai, Suzhou), while compensation beneficiaries were primarily carbon sink providers (e.g., Lishui, Huangshan). Under the four carbon compensation schemes, the total compensation funds reached 47.49, 48.229, 54.844, and 55.858 billion yuan respectively. The coordinated scheme with the dual-efficiency adjustment mechanism was better able to balance efficiency and fairness, making it more suitable for promoting regional low-carbon collaborative development. These findings provided empirically grounded policy recommendations for implementing regional carbon compensation mechanisms and advancing low-carbon development strategies.

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于梦林,郭杰,周涛,易家林,周美玲,王文旭.基于碳收支的长三角地区横向碳补偿方案研究.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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