土地利用效率、空间溢出与城市生态承载力 ——基于我国280个地级及以上城市的实证分析
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1.湖南工商大学经济与贸易学院;2.湖南工商大学湖南省数字经济与高质量发展重点实验室

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国家社科基金重大项目(22&ZD051);湖南省教育厅科学研究重点项目(24A0445)


Land use efficiency, spatial spillover and urban ecological carrying capacity- Based on the empirical analysis of 280 cities at prefecture level and above in China
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1.Hunan Technology and Business University;2.Hunan Key Laboratory of Digital Economy and High-quality Development, Hunan Technology and Business University

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    摘要:

    城市生态承载力反映城市生态系统承载人口的最大容量,土地开发利用因其对资源环境和经济发展的作用而与生态承载力存在广泛联系,深入考察土地利用效率对城市生态承载力的影响和空间规律具有重要意义。理论上,系统阐释土地利用效率对城市生态承载力的直接影响和空间溢出机制。实证上,基于2006—2022年280个地级及以上城市面板数据,围绕“城市能够承载的最大人口容量”核心目标,从资源供给与消耗、环境承载与负荷、生态系统服务与健康、社会经济发展能力四个维度入手,构建城市生态承载力综合评价指标体系,利用熵权TOPSIS法测算城市生态承载力,构建空间杜宾模型实证检验土地利用效率对城市生态承载力的空间效应。结果表明:①2006—2022年各城市生态承载力存在一定程度的波动,空间格局总体呈“东南高、西北低”的分异特征。②土地利用效率对本城市和邻近城市的生态承载力均具有显著的正向作用。③土地利用效率对东、西部城市和低人口密度城市生态承载力提升的直接效应更显著;对东部城市和资源型城市生态承载力提升的空间溢出效应更显著。④土地资源错配抑制了土地利用效率对城市生态承载力的影响效应。研究结论为城市高效利用土地、优化生态承载力实践以及推动可持续发展提供经验证据。

    Abstract:

    Urban ecological carrying capacity reflects the maximum population capacity supported by urban ecological systems sustainably. As a matter of fact, land development and utilization are extensively and profoundly related to ecological carrying capacity due to its great role playing in resources, environment and economic growth. From the prospective of theoretical and practical value, it is highly significant to thoroughly investigate the influence and spatial patterns of land use efficiency on urban ecological carrying capacity. Theoretically speaking, this study systematically elucidates the direct impacts of land use efficiency on urban ecological carrying capacity as well as the spatial spillover mechanism. Empirically from an evidence-based perspective, in consideration of the panel data of 280 cities at prefecture-level and above in China from 2006 to 2022, this study centered the core objective on "the maximum population capacity that a city can carry sustainably", the comprehensive evaluation index system of urban ecological carrying capacity was constructed, starting from the following four dimensions of resource supply and consumption balance, environmental carrying and loading capacity, ecosystem services-health status, and socioeconomic development potential. Methodologically, the entropy weight TOPSIS method was employed to measure the urban ecological carrying capacity, while the spatial Durbin model was constructed to empirically examined the spatial effect of land use efficiency on urban ecological carrying capacity. For the view of academic and practical implications, key findings reveal as followed: (1) There was a certain degree of fluctuation in the ecological carrying capacity across different cities from 2006 to 2022, with an overall spatial pattern generally characterized by "high values in the southeast and low values in the northwest" during the study period. (2) Land use efficiency would exert a significant positive effect on the ecological carrying capacity of local city and the ecological carrying capacity of neighboring cities. (3) The direct effect of land use efficiency on the improvement of ecological carrying capacity might be more pronounced in eastern and western cities, as well as in those cities with low population density. Meanwhile, the spatial spillover effect on the enhancement of ecological carrying capacity could be more significant in eastern cities and resource-based cities. (4) Land resource misallocation substantially would inhibit the positive impact of land use efficiency on urban ecological carrying capacity. Based on the results above, this study provided empirical evidence for cities to enhance land use efficiency, optimize ecological carrying capacity, and promote sustainable development from an empirical and practical point of view.

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邝劲松,姚一凡,杨坤宇,朱于珂,李东坡,向国成.土地利用效率、空间溢出与城市生态承载力 ——基于我国280个地级及以上城市的实证分析.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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