耕地利用隐性转型与农业碳排放时空耦合及其影响因素——以长江经济带为例
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1.中国矿业大学公共管理学院;2.中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院;3.中国地质大学(武汉)地理与信息工程学院

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国家自然科学(42201270);中央高校基本科研业务费社科基金交叉学科研究专项(2024JCXKSK07)


Spatiotemporal characteristics and influence factors of coupling coordination between recessive farmland use transition and agricultural carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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1.School of Public Administration,China University of Mining and Technology,Xuzhou;2.China;3.School of Geography and Information Engineering,China University of Geosciences Wuhan

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    摘要:

    探究耕地利用隐性转型与农业碳排放耦合协调及其影响因素对我国耕地保护及区域农业高质量发展具有重要现实意义。本文采用综合评价法测算长江经济带市域尺度下耕地利用隐性形态水平和农业碳排放强度,基于耦合协调度模型评估耕地利用隐性转型与农业碳排放的耦合协调度,并进一步构建空间计量模型考察其耦合协调度的影响因素。结果表明:①2001–2021年长江经济带耕地利用隐性形态呈现稳步提升发展态势,高值区由研究区下游随时间扩大并向中上游延伸。②研究期内农业碳排放强度先升后降,波动较小;中下游地区强度较高,上游地区强度总体较低且保持稳定。③长江经济带耕地隐性利用转型与农业碳排放强度耦合协调度不断提升,空间上呈现东高西低的格局,极化现象显著。④耦合协调度值呈现高–高和低–低集聚现象,具有显著正向空间效应;自然、经济和社会因素共同影响耦合协调度水平,且各因子对邻域单元的溢出效应更为明显。最后,应注重长江经济带耕地利用隐性转型与农业碳排放的空间示范效应,并因地制宜构建低碳高效的耕地利用与农业发展策略。

    Abstract:

    In this paper, we aim to explore the coupling coordination and influence factors of recessive farmland use transition (RFUT) and agricultural carbon emissions (ACEs) in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), so as to provide decision-making reference for cultivated land protection and high-quality agricultural development. This paper used comprehensive evaluation method to measure the RFUT level in the YREB, evaluated the coupling coordination degree between the RFUT and ACEs, and further established a spatial econometric model to explore its influence factors. The results show that: (1) The RFUT level in the study area showed a steady development trend from 2001 to 2021, and the high-value areas gradually expanded from the downstream to the middle and upper reaches over time. (2) The ACEs in the study area first increased and then decreased, with small fluctuations. Moreover, the high-level areas were mainly distributed in the middle and lower reaches, while that was low and stable in the upper reaches. (3) The coupling coordination degree between the RFUT and ACEs in the YREB was constantly improved, showing a spatial pattern of higher in the east and lower in the west. (4) The value of coupling coordination degree showed a phenomenon of high-high and low-low agglomeration, which had a significant positive spatial effect. Natural, economic and social factors affect the level of coupling coordination degree, and the spillover effect of each factor on the neighborhood unit was more obvious. We should pay attention to the spatial demonstration effect of the RFUT and ACEs in the YREB, and build low-carbon and efficient policies for cultivated land use and agricultural development according to the local conditions.

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杨斌,田佳琦,武越天,金贵,隋虹均,宋小青.耕地利用隐性转型与农业碳排放时空耦合及其影响因素——以长江经济带为例.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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