基于LAI的东亚飞蝗发生面积的预测模型
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:


Research on the forecasting model about area of the outbreak from oriemtal migratory locust using of LAI

Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    20世纪80年代以来东亚飞蝗在我国再度猖獗危害,及时、准确地监测东亚飞蝗的危害状况,对于东亚飞蝗的有效防治有重要意义。以河北省黄骅市为研究区,从光学模型的建立机理为着眼点,定量分析和对比了4种由植被冠层孔隙度反演LAI的算法。结果表明,LAI与植被指数之间呈明显的正相关关系,即随着LAI的增大,植被指数也在增大;在4种估算方法中,LAI-2000算法最适用于研究区植被LAI的估算。此外,还分析了LAI与飞蝗发生面积的关系,发现两者呈负相关。并在此基础上建立了飞蝗发生面积的预测模型,即:ALO=-aln(LAI)+b,其中,a、b为调节系数。

    Abstract:

    Since 1980s of the 20th century, outbreak of oriental migratory locust has rampantly emerged again in some regions of China. It is particularly important to monitor timely and accurately the intensity of damage from oriental migratory locust (Locusta migratoria manilensis Meyen) for realizing efficient control and prevention of this kind of insect pest.In this study, Huanghua city in Hebei province was taken as the study area. From the point of view of the mechanism of developing the optical models, four algorithms used for LAI retrieval based on the gap fraction of vegetation canopy were quantitatively analyzed and compared. These methods are the Bonhomme & Chartier algorithm, the LAI-2000 algorithm, the improved LAI-2000 algorithm and the Campbell’s ellipsoid distribution algorithm, respectively. Three types of vegetation which are most popularly distributed in the study area, i.e. reeds, cottons and weeds, are selected as the targets and the original datum of vegetation get collected from 14 sampling sites and used in the study. A fish-eye digital camera manufactured by the Regent Instrument Company was utilized to obtain the spherical images of vegetation canopy, and WINSCANOPY2004a was made use of in processing of the datum of gap fraction of vegetation canopy. In order to compare the accuracy of LAI retrieved by four kinds of algorithms and find out one which is mostly applicable to LAI retrieval in the study area, the relations between LAI retrieved by the different kinds of algorithms, their logarithmic averages of the retrieved LAI and the corresponding vegetation index are statistically analyzed, respectively. The results show that, firstly, a positive correlation exists between the retrieved LAI and vegetation index for all three kinds of vegetation in the study area. Secondly, the accuracy of LAI retrieval by the LAI-2000 algorithm and the Campbell’s ellipsoid distribution algorithm is higher than that of the Bonhomme&Chartier algorithm and the improved LAI-2000 algorithm. Thirdly, with the Bonhomme&Chartier algorithm excluded, the fitting process between LAI retrieved by the other three kinds of algorithms and RDVI retrieved from TM indicates that these algorithms all perform much well to reveal the growing conditions of vegetation in the study area, and, among them the LAI-2000 algorithm is the best one in terms of the accuracy of LAI retrieval. Finally, the fitting between the logarithmic average of the LAI retrieved by three kinds of algorithms and RDVI retrieved from TM also shows that the LAI-2000 algorithm is the greatest for the LAI retrieval of the vegetation in the study area. In addition, it is found that a negative correlation exists in the relation between LAI and the area where the locust outbreak appeared. In other words, with the decrease of LAI, the area in which the locust outbreak appears increased. Following this step, a forecasting model based on the datum of outbreak areas and LAI was developed to predict the area where the locust outbreak(ALO)would emerge,which is ALO=-aln(LAI)+b.In this fitting, a and b are both adjustable coefficients.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

吴彤,倪绍祥,李云梅.基于LAI的东亚飞蝗发生面积的预测模型.生态学报,2006,26(3):862~869

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数: