京津冀城市群隐含碳转移价值链分解与路径识别
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A 类)(XDA19040401);国家自然科学基金项目(42171290,41871117)


Value chain decomposition and pathway identification of embodied carbon transfer in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    京津冀城市群作为全国碳交易试点和协同发展关键区,亟须统筹区域分工与跨域联系,厘清其在不同空间层级下的碳排放结构与转移路径,以建立公平碳责任并推动精准治理。现有研究多聚焦单一空间层级或静态分析,难以系统揭示区域内外动态碳转移过程。基于嵌入式多区域投入产出模型,融合价值链分解与结构路径分析方法,从生产和消费两端系统解析碳转移的路径结构、空间格局与演变特征,并追踪其在城市群内部、国内跨省和国际的分布特征。研究发现:(1)京津冀城市群隐含碳转移呈现"生产集中、消费外溢"的空间错配格局。唐山、天津作为生产侧双核心,贡献42.3%的生产端排放且超80%外输;北京作为消费中心,近80%的消费排放依赖区外供给;(2)京津冀城市群整体陷入"高碳锁定、低端输出"困境,高增加值城市普遍伴随高碳排放,仅北京实现了经济收益与碳责任的"脱钩",呈现"低碳高收益"格局,而邯郸、邢台等城市则面临"高碳中低收益"困境;(3)关键碳流动路径趋于短链化与内部化,前30条路径贡献率由7.0%升至9.2%,以钢铁、电力、建筑业和服务业为主导,区域内流转占比超90%;(4)京津冀城市群隐含碳转移呈现"内主外辅"的空间格局:内部流动占比最高且路径最简单,国内跨省路径结构复杂但贡献趋减,国际输出占比则持续上升。

    Abstract:

    As a national carbon trading pilot zone and a pivotal area for coordinated development, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH) urban agglomeration faces an urgent need to integrate regional division of labor with cross-regional linkages, and to clarify its carbon emission structure and transfer pathways across different spatial scales, thereby establishing equitable carbon responsibilities and enabling precision governance. Existing research has predominantly focused on single spatial scales or static analyses, which are insufficient for systematically revealing the dynamic processes of carbon transfer within and beyond the region.This study is dedicated to addressing this issue, using an embedded multi-regional input-output (MRIO) model combined with value chain decomposition and structural path analysis (SPA) to systematically examine the structural configuration, spatial patterns, and evolutionary characteristics of carbon transfer from both production and consumption perspectives, and to further trace its distribution within the urban agglomeration, across domestic provinces, and internationally. The findings indicate: (1) The embodied carbon transfer in the BTH urban agglomeration exhibits a pronounced spatial mismatch pattern characterized by concentrated production and spillover consumption. Tangshan and Tianjin serve as dual production cores, contributing 42.3% of production-side emissions, with over 80% of these emissions being exported to meet external demand; Beijing operates as a dominant consumption center, relying on external supply for nearly 80% of its consumption-based emissions. (2) The BTH urban agglomeration as a whole is caught in a dilemma of high-carbon lock-in and low-end output. Cities with high value added generally exhibit high carbon emissions. Notably, Beijing stands out as the sole city that has achieved a decoupling of economic gains from carbon responsibility, demonstrating a pattern of low carbon and high value added, while cities such as Handan and Xingtai face the challenge of high carbon and medium-to-low value added. (3) Key carbon flow pathways are becoming shorter in length and more internalized within the region. The cumulative contribution of the top 30 critical pathways increased from 7.0% to 9.2%, suggesting a concentration of carbon transmission along major industrial routes. These pathways are dominated by the steel, electricity, construction, and service sectors, with intra-regional flows accounting for over 90% of these critical transmission chains, highlighting the region's intense internal industrial interdependence. (4) The spatial pattern of embodied carbon transfer in the BTH urban agglomeration is characterized as predominantly internal and supplemented by external flows. Intra-regional flows account for the largest share and exhibit the simplest structural pathways. In contrast, interprovincial flows display more complex structural configurations but a declining overall contribution, while the share of international outflows continues to rise. This study provides scientific support for formulating precise and coordinated carbon reduction policies in the BTH region.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

杨子涵,郭永熙,孙威.京津冀城市群隐含碳转移价值链分解与路径识别.生态学报,2026,46(18):9854~9872

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数: