中国数字经济与旅游生态效率耦合协调的时空演变及影响因素
作者:
作者单位:

1.华南理工大学旅游管理系;2.湖南师范大学旅游学院

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目)


Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of the coupling coordination of digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency in China
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Department of Tourism Management, South China University of Technology;2.Hunan Normal University

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    实现数字经济与旅游生态效率的耦合协调,是新时代数实融合战略与绿色转型要求的应有之义。构建数字经济与旅游生态效率耦合协调的分析框架,采用熵值法、非期望产出Super-EBM、非参数核密度估计、马尔可夫链和随机森林回归等方法,测算2011—2019年中国省域数字经济与旅游生态效率,进而分析二者耦合协调的时空演变及影响因素。结果表明:(1)中国数字经济与旅游生态效率均显著增长,其耦合协调度也明显提升,三者均呈现“东部>中部>西部”的区域格局。全国尺度下耦合协调度分布呈集中化趋势;东部地区趋于集中,而中、西部地区则存在多级分化。(2)数字经济与旅游生态效率耦合协调度呈显著路径依赖特征,各省域难以在短期内实现跨越式增长,但也存在空间溢出效应。当与高耦合协调度的省域相邻时,本地省域耦合协调度向上转移的概率明显提升。(3)二者耦合协调受多因素的非线性影响,其中社会经济因素贡献率较大,而政策因素贡献率较小。经济收入、市场需求、城镇化和交通水平等因素的影响总体增强并在较高水平维持稳定,而政府调控的影响则呈相反趋势。本文可为系统厘清数字经济与旅游发展之间的关系、加快推动数字经济与旅游业的深度融合提供新的理论依据与实践参考。

    Abstract:

    The realization of coupled coordination between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency is an inherent requirement of the digital-real integration strategy and green transformation demands in the new era. This paper constructs a theoretical analysis framework for the coupling coordination between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency, and adopts multiple methods including the entropy method, undesirable output Super-EBM, nonparametric kernel density estimation, Markov chains (both traditional and spatial), and random forest regression to conduct empirical analysis. Specifically, based on the comprehensive measurement of the digital economy index and tourism eco-efficiency in Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2019, this paper further analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency. The results show that: (1) During the research period, both China"s digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency showed significant growth, presenting a regional distribution pattern gradually decreasing from east to west; meanwhile, the coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency significantly improved, forming a regional difference of "eastern region > central region > western region". At the national scale, the distribution of the coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency shows a concentration trend; the coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency in the eastern region tends to be concentrated in distribution, while the central and western regions show multi-tier differentiation characteristics. (2) The coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency shows significant path dependence characteristics, making it difficult for provinces to achieve leapfrog growth in the short term, but it also has spatial spillover effects. When adjacent to provinces with high coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency, the probability of upward transition of the coupling coordination degree between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency in the local province is significantly improved. (3) The coupling coordination between the digital economy and tourism eco-efficiency is nonlinearly influenced by multiple factors, among which the contribution of socioeconomic factors is relatively large, while the contribution of policy factors is relatively small. Specifically, the marginal effects of influencing factors such as economic income, market demand, urbanization, and traffic level generally enhance and maintain stability at a relatively high level, while the marginal effect of government regulation shows an opposite trend. This research provides new theoretical support and practical insights for scientifically understanding the intrinsic relationship between the digital economy and tourism development, and for promoting the high-quality integrated development of the digital economy and the tourism industry.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

谢佳亮,王兆峰.中国数字经济与旅游生态效率耦合协调的时空演变及影响因素.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202507191890

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数: