沿海发达地区景观生态风险对城市扩张模式的响应——以江苏省为例
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国家自然科学基金项目(42171245,42476239);自然资源部海岸带开发与保护重点实验室开放基金项目(2023CZEPK02);江苏省自然资源科技计划项目(2023003)


Response of landscape ecological risks to urban expansion patterns in developed coastal regions: a case study of Jiangsu province
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    摘要:

    城市扩张是影响区域生态环境的关键因素,明晰城市扩张与生态风险之间的关系对城市可持续发展和生态环境优化具有重要现实意义。然而,当前研究从微观视角阐明城市扩张对景观生态风险的研究相对有限,尤其是不同城市发展模式对景观生态风险的影响尚未得到充分探讨。以江苏省为例,提出基于网格数据模型的多阶邻接指数(MAI)算法以识别城市扩张模式,评估了城市扩张模式与景观生态风险的演变及关系。结果表明:(1)江苏省城市规模持续扩张且扩张重心随时间推移呈现"苏北(1985-2000年)→苏中(2000-2010年)→苏南(2010-2020年)"的阶段性演进规律,边缘式城市扩张是其主导模式。(2)景观生态风险总体呈现"上升-下降-回升"的波动趋势,苏南、苏中及东部沿海地区的景观生态风险水平显著高于其他区域,苏北、苏中和苏南风险等级转换激烈趋势与城市扩张规律具有一致性。(3)景观生态风险指数与MAI数值呈正相关关系,同单位面积内城市扩张模式对生态风险的影响强度表现为填充式<边缘式<相邻式<相间式<分离式<蔓延式,城市扩张加剧了生态环境恶化。(4)人类活动和气候相互作用共同影响沿海地区景观生态风险,而相关政策是城市扩张的主要调控因素。未来沿海城市发展应充分考虑不同城市扩张模式对生态环境的差异化影响,研究结果可为发达地区人地可持续发展和区域生态安全格局优化提供科学依据和理论指导。

    Abstract:

    Urban expansion is a key factor that affects the regional ecological environment, therefore, clarifying the relationship between urban expansion and ecological risk is of great and practical significance for sustainable urban development and ecological environment optimization. However, current research remains relatively limited in elucidating the relationship between urban expansion and ecological risk from a micro-scale perspective, especially regarding the impact of different urban development modes on landscape ecological risk. The multi-order adjacency index (MAI) is a novel method for quantifying urban expansion landscapes at more microscopic spatial scales. It uses multi-order buffer zones to distinguish relationships between new and original urban land uses, effectively revealing the processes and characteristics of micro-level urban expansion. Taking Jiangsu Province as a case study, this paper proposes an MAI algorithm based on a grid data model to identify urban expansion patterns, constructs a landscape ecological risk model to reveal the long-term evolution characteristics of environmental risks, and uses Pearson correlation analysis to evaluate the evolution and relationship between urban expansion patterns and landscape ecological risks. The results show that: (1) The urban scale of Jiangsu Province exhibited a expansion trend, and the gravity center of expansion showed a staged evolution pattern of "Northern Jiangsu (1985-2000) → Central Jiangsu (2000-2010) → Southern Jiangsu (2010-2020)", with fringe urban expansion being the dominant pattern. (2) Landscape ecological risk generally showed a fluctuating trend of "rising-declining-recovering", and the landscape ecological risk level in Southern Jiangsu, Central Jiangsu, and the eastern coastal area was significantly higher than other regions, with the intense trend of risk level transfer in Northern, Central, and Southern Jiangsu consistent with urban expansion. (3) The landscape ecological risk index was positively correlated with the MAI value, with the intensity of the impact of urban expansion patterns on ecological risk within the same unit area ranked as infill

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余李敏,濮励杰.沿海发达地区景观生态风险对城市扩张模式的响应——以江苏省为例.生态学报,2026,46(3):1480~1494

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