长江经济带城-郊-乡生态系统服务与生态风险的时空关联及安全分区
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国家自然科学基金面上项目(42271113);国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFD2001105);中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目(25XNN044)


Spatiotemporal correlations and security zoning of ecosystem services and ecological risks across urban-suburban-rural gradients of the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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    摘要:

    城市化引起城乡格局变迁,往往会导致生态系统服务空间不公平分配,严重影响区域社会-生态可持续发展。然而,在此过程中城乡生态系统服务格局与所承载生态风险是否关联,以及如何基于两者关联实施生态安全分区及分层保护管控尚不明晰。以横跨多区域的长江经济带为例,选择典型土地-人口-经济城市化指标聚类识别城-郊-乡空间,采用生物物理模型对关键生态系统服务和生态风险指标进行定量评估,测度两者在城乡梯度的异质性关联关系,并实施城-郊-乡生态安全分区。结果表明:(1)2010-2022年,城乡过渡区面积增加比例最大,约77%,而乡村地区面积减少最多,约8%。(2)相比于乡村和自然用地,城市和城乡过渡区多数调节和支持服务值较低,但热浪和洪涝风险较高。十二年间,城市和城乡过渡区的休闲游憩、热岛缓解服务降低明显;而乡村和自然用地的土壤保持服务降低明显,且地质和洪涝风险显著增加。(3)在城市和城乡过渡区,气候调节、空气净化、热岛缓解、生境质量与生态风险相关性更强,而在乡村地区粮食生产、水质净化则与生态风险更相关。(4)对于安全分区,城市地区以生态改善修复区为主,面积占71%;城乡过渡区以生态敏感保育区和生态改善修复区为主,分别占52%和30%;乡村地区以生态敏感保育区为主,占比超62%;自然用地则以生态涵养保育区和生态敏感保育区为主,分别占44%和10%。研究结果可为长江经济带类似大尺度城市化高度空间异质性区域的城乡生态系统服务分区治理与生态风险精准管控提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    Urbanization-induced changes in the urban-rural landscape led to spatially unequal distributions of ecosystem services, significantly undermining regional socio-ecological sustainability. However, it remained unclear whether the patterns of urban-rural ecosystem services were related to ecological risks, and how to implement ecological zonal protection and hierarchical management based on their relationships. Therefore, it is urgent to understand the spatial heterogeneity and correlation mechanisms of ecosystem services and ecological risks in urban and rural areas under the influence of human-environment interactions, and to propose targeted and refined ecological security zoning and management recommendations. Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt-which spans multiple regions-as a case study, typical urbanization indicators were selected for clustering to identify the urban, suburban, rural and natural regions. A biophysical model was employed to quantitatively assess key ecosystem services and ecological risks, while their correlations along the urban-rural gradient were measured to establish ecological security zones. The results showed that: (1) From 2010 to 2022, the area of urban-rural transitional region-referred to as the suburban region-increased most significantly, by approximately 77%, while rural areas experienced the greatest reduction, with a decrease of about 8%. (2) Compared to rural and natural areas, urban and urban-rural fringe areas generally exhibited lower values of regulating and supporting services, but higher risks of heatwaves and flooding. Over the past twelve years, recreational services and heat island mitigation in urban and urban-rural fringe areas declined significantly. In contrast, rural and natural areas experienced a marked decrease in soil retention services, along with a significant increase in geological disaster and flood risks. (3) In urban and urban-rural fringe areas, climate regulation, air purification, heat island mitigation, and habitat quality were more strongly correlated with ecological risks, whereas in rural areas, food production and water purification were more closely associated with ecological risks. (4) For ecological security zoning, urban regions were predominantly classified as ecological restoration zones, accounting for 71% of the total area. The urban-rural transitional regions were mainly designated as ecologically sensitive conservation zones and ecological improvement and restoration zones, representing 52% and 30%, respectively. Rural regions were predominantly classified as ecologically sensitive conservation zones, accounting for over 62% of the total area. Natural lands were primarily identified as ecological function conservation zones and ecologically sensitive conservation zones, accounting for 44% and 10% respectively. These findings provided a scientific basis for ecosystem service zonal governance and precise ecological risk management in similar large-scale, highly heterogeneous urbanized regions, such as the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

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孙晓,石磊,庞军.长江经济带城-郊-乡生态系统服务与生态风险的时空关联及安全分区.生态学报,2026,46(4):1752~1769

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