足迹家族框架下河南省农业资源承载力评价
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河南省软科学研究计划项目(202400410098);河南省农业科学院应用科技攻关项目(2025YG01)


Evaluation of agricultural resource carrying capacity in Henan Province under the footprint family framework
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    摘要:

    生态足迹体系是衡量人类对环境资源需求和生态系统承载能力之间关系的工具,能以直观的方式量化评价复杂的环境影响,为揭示区域资源消耗及可持续发展情况提供了路径。基于足迹家族理论框架,聚焦水、土、氮、碳的环境资源限制,从环境约束的角度构建水、氮、碳的承载力边界,采用基于空间异质性的本地化参数方案构建农业生态足迹,并对耕地非农化状态及资源环境负载情况展开分析,多维度测度农业生产与环境资源之间的相互作用关系。结果表明:①2015-2023年间,河南省农业足迹呈降低态势,足迹组份均不同程度下降,绿色发展成效显著,水资源仍为首要环境制约。②省域农业承载能力增强,以水、氮承载力增长为主。区域中心城市农业承载力降低明显,呈现都市型农业特征。豫南农业核心区农业承载力持续上升。③全省耕地非农化态势减弱,地市耕地流出量以5%-7%居多,多发于城市建成区周边。④省域环境资源负载降低,生态盈余提升。氮、碳负载盈余,水资源压力较大。郑州、洛阳生产性负载高,需外部资源输入满足城市发展需求,其余地市负载较低,仍处于农业生产外输的生态位。

    Abstract:

    The ecological footprint system served as a tool for measuring the relationship between human demand for environmental resources and ecosystem carrying capacity. It provided an intuitive method to quantify complex environmental impacts, revealing regional resource consumption and sustainability status. Based on the footprint family theoretical framework, this study focused on environmental limits for water, soil, nitrogen and carbon, and established their carrying capacity boundaries from an environmental constraint perspective. We developed the agricultural ecological footprint through a localized scheme that incorporated spatial heterogeneity. Finally, we analyzed farmland conversion to non-agricultural uses and resource-environmental loads, employing applying a multidimensional approach to assess agricultural production-environment interactions. The results showed that:(1) From 2015 to 2023, agricultural footprints in Henan Province exhibited a declining trend, with all footprint components decreasing to varying degrees, reflecting progress in green development. However, water resources remained the primary environmental constraint. (2) Provincial agricultural carrying capacity improved, primarily driven by enhanced water and nitrogen capacities. Notably, regional central cities demonstrated a significant decline in agricultural carrying capacity, characterizing urban agriculture patterns, while core agricultural regions in southern Henan maintained sustained growth. (3) Farmland conversion to non-agricultural uses mitigated province-wide, with municipal-level outflow rates concentrated at 5%-7%, particularly in peri-urban built-up zones. (4) The provincial environmental resource load decreased while ecological surplus increased, with nitrogen and carbon loads achieving surplus status, though water resources remained under significant pressure. Zhengzhou and Luoyang exhibited high productive loads, requiring external resource inputs to meet urban development demands, whereas other prefecture-level cities maintained lower loads and retained an ecological niche characterized by agricultural output. This study reveals that unsustainable agricultural practices may trigger long-term ecological crises, while simultaneously demonstrating the effectiveness of policy interventions. Accordingly, we propose the following recommendations: As a vital agricultural production base in China, Henan Province exhibits high dependence on environmental resources. For regions with dominant agricultural production, ecological farming models should be promoted to reduce agricultural pollution, coupled with establishing cross-regional ecological compensation mechanisms to mitigate environmental impacts and enhance ecosystem stability. For urbanized areas with lower agricultural proportions, high-value-added and ecologically integrated development pathways should be adopted, with protective utilization of peri-urban farmland and wetlands to balance urban expansion and agroecological functions. By employing the footprint family framework, we quantitatively analyzed agricultural footprints and environmental carrying capacity in Henan Province, advancing the application of this methodology in systematic green agriculture assessments. However, limitations persist regarding data accuracy and classification inconsistencies, constrained finer-scale analysis. Moreover, traditional analytical approaches fail to adequately capture the lag effects of potential environmental risks in agricultural systems. Future studies should develop more comprehensive frameworks to evaluate human-environment interactions, bridging the gap between theoretical assessments and practical applications for sustainable agricultural management.

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柳宏斌,上官彩霞,滕永忠,孙建军,孟瑶,王瑛,刘诗涵.足迹家族框架下河南省农业资源承载力评价.生态学报,2026,46(2):832~845

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