基于GEE平台的1990—2024年鄱阳湖水域面积变化及归因分析
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国家重点研究计划(2022YFC3204603,2023YFC3006501);国家自然科学基金(42075191);江西省学位与研究生教研项目(JXYJG-2022-168)


Analysis of Poyang Lake water area dynamics and attribution from 1990 to 2024 based on GEE
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    摘要:

    鄱阳湖是我国最大的淡水湖,其水域面积变化对区域水资源供给、洪水调节等具有重要影响。近年来,在气候变化和人类活动的共同作用下,鄱阳湖水域面积发生了显著变化。传统遥感水体监测方法在多源影像处理方面效率较低,难以满足大范围、长时间序列的动态监测需求。为此,基于谷歌地球引擎(GEE, Google Earth Engine)平台,整合1990-2024年多源遥感、气象与土地利用数据,系统分析了鄱阳湖水域面积的时空演变特征及其驱动因素。结果表明:(1)时间尺度上,鄱阳湖年最大与最小水域面积在2024年分别较1990年减少了14.04%和28.04%,面积变化幅度较大,波动性明显;季节上,春秋季水域变化幅度较大,夏冬季相对平稳,冬季面积缩减最明显,2024年较1990年总体缩减达927.85km2。(2)空间尺度和特征上,丰水期主体湖和碟形湖水域显著扩张,呈现"湖相"特征;枯水期湖区收缩并碎片化,赣江尾闾区域水面退缩尤为明显,总体呈"河相"特征。(3)气候变化响应上,研究期间降水总量增加346.68mm,年均增长率为9.91mm/a,较多年平均值高出约16.74%。年降水量与水域面积呈正相关,其波动对湖泊的扩张与收缩具有显著影响。同期,年均气温上升1.01℃,年均升幅约0.03℃,累计升幅达5.57%,与水域面积呈较强负相关,气温升高通过增强蒸发作用间接加剧湖泊萎缩。(4)研究期间水域向建设用地转化面积达533.19km2,直接压缩水域空间;林地累计转为耕地与建设用地面积达18339.39km2,削弱区域蓄水能力与生态调节功能,进一步加剧水域面积波动性。基于GEE平台的多源数据集成与长时序分析方法,实现了高效自动化的水域动态监测,为其他大型湖泊研究提供了技术范式。同时,研究成果为湖泊水资源管理与生态保护政策制定提供了决策支持。

    Abstract:

    Poyang Lake, the largest freshwater lake in China, played a vital role in regional water supply and flood regulation. In recent years, the lake's surface water area underwent significant changes due to the combined impacts of climate change and human activities. However, traditional remote sensing methods often faced limitations in processing multi-source imagery efficiently, while hindered large-scale and long-term dynamic monitoring. To address this, this study utilized the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform to integrate multi-source remote sensing, meteorological, and land use data from 1990 to 2024, aiming to systematically analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of Poyang Lake's surface water area and its driving factors. The results indicated that: (1) On the temporal scale, the annual maximum and minimum water surface areas of Poyang Lake in 2024 decreased by 14.04% and 28.04% respectively compared to 1990, showing significant area variations and notable fluctuations. Seasonally, the water area exhibited greater changes in spring and autumn while remaining relatively stable in summer and winter, with the most pronounced reduction occurring in winter. The overall reduction from 1990 to 2024 reached 927.85km2. (2) Spatially, during the wet season, both the main lake body and dish-shaped sub-lakes expanded significantly, showing typical lacustrine characteristics. In the dry season, the lake area contracted and became fragmented, with the water surface retreating most noticeably in the tail reach of the Ganjiang River, overall showing fluvial characteristics. (3) In response to climate change, total precipitation increased by 346.68 mm over the study period, with an average annual growth rate of 9.91mm/a, approximately 16.74% higher than the multi-year average. Precipitation was positively correlated with the surface water area, and its fluctuations significantly influenced lake expansion and contraction. Meanwhile, the annual mean temperature increased by 1.01℃ (0.03 ℃/a on average), with a cumulative rise of 5.57%, showing a strong negative correlation with lake area. Rising temperatures likely intensified evapotranspiration, indirectly contributing to lake shrinkage. (4) Regarding anthropogenic impacts, 533.19km2 of lake surface was converted into construction land during the study period, directly compressing the lake area. Additionally, 18339.39km2 of forest land was transformed into cropland and built-up areas, weakening the region's water retention and ecological regulation capacity, thereby exacerbating fluctuations in surface water area. The integration of multi-source data and long-term time-series analysis methods on the GEE platform enables efficient, automated monitoring of water-body dynamics, offering a technical framework for studies of other large lakes. Moreover, the findings provide decision-support for lake water-resource management and the formulation of ecological conservation policies.

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吴浪,田玉凤,许怡,吴永祥,施睿,古鹏飞.基于GEE平台的1990—2024年鄱阳湖水域面积变化及归因分析.生态学报,2026,46(3):1422~1437

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