基于水-能源-生态框架的环鄱阳湖城市群生态系统服务多尺度供需格局及管理分区研究
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1.江西财经大学公共管理学院;2.中国矿业大学公共管理学院;3.南京农业大学公共管理学院

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国家自然科学基金(42261045)


Multi-scale supply-demand patterns and management zoning of ecosystem services in the Poyang Lake Urban agglomeration under the water-energy-ecology nexus framework
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1.School of Public Administration, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics;2.School of Public Management, China University of Mining and Technology;3.College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University

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    摘要:

    准确识别生态系统服务供需格局,对优化生态空间格局与提升区域生态治理能力具有重要意义。以环鄱阳湖城市群为研究区域,基于水-能源-生态框架构建多尺度生态系统服务供需分析体系,选取产水、固碳、土壤保持和生境质量四类生态系统服务,综合运用RUSLE与InVEST模型,测度2020年生态系统服务的供需量和供需比;在格网、县级和市级三个尺度上采用空间自相关、冷热点识别、斯皮尔曼相关分析,揭示供需空间集聚特征;基于供需关系和耦合协调模型构建市-县两级生态分区体系,并结合SOMF方法识别分区主导功能。结果表明:(1)2020年环鄱阳湖城市群生态系统服务供给整体呈现东高西低、外围优于中部格局,需求集中于中部核心城市区,供需存在显著空间错配;(2)多尺度供需格局呈现明显尺度效应与服务异质性,市县尺度协同性较强,格网尺度空间异质性更显著;(3)在供需空间格局分析基础上构建市-县级生态分区体系,市级识别出城镇扩张与生态修复区、生态重塑与产业转型区、生态屏障与功能保护区三类功能区,县级进一步细化了提升生态系统服务功能的管理分区。从多尺度视角系统剖析环鄱阳湖城市群生态系统服务供需格局,并构建多层次生态空间优化路径,为区域生态管理、资源配置与空间规划提供理论支持与决策参考。

    Abstract:

    Accurate identification of ecosystem service (ES) supply-demand patterns was critical for optimizing ecological spatial structures and enhancing regional ecological governance capacity. This study focused on the Poyang Lake Urban Agglomeration in China and developed a comprehensive multi-scale analytical framework under the water-energy-ecology(WEE) nexus to systematically assess ES supply and demand relationships. Four key ES types-water yield, carbon sequestration, soil retention, and habitat quality-were selected because they represent essential ecological processes and resource flows that underpin regional sustainability and environmental security. The ecological supply and demand volumes, as well as supply-demand ratios, were quantified for the year 2020 using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) models. To characterize spatial heterogeneity and clustering patterns, spatial autocorrelation indices, hotspot and coldspot analyses, and Spearman correlation coefficients were applied at three nested scales: grid, county, and municipal levels.Based on the spatial matching of supply and demand, a coupling coordination model was employed to diagnose the degree of alignment between ecological capacity and socioeconomic needs across scales. Additionally, a Self-Organizing Map Feature (SOMF) clustering method was introduced to further classify dominant ES functions within each county, enabling a more refined understanding of functional differentiation and localized management priorities. The results showed that: (1) ES supply in 2020 exhibited a spatial pattern of higher values in the east and periphery and lower values in central areas, whereas demand was concentrated in urban cores, revealing a significant spatial mismatch; (2) Supply-demand patterns displayed strong scale effects and service-specific heterogeneity, with greater coordination at municipal/county levels and more pronounced spatial heterogeneity at the grid scale; (3) The zoning system identified three municipal-level functional zones—urban expansion and ecological restoration areas, ecological reshaping and industrial transformation areas, and ecological barrier and functional conservation areas—while county-level zones provided more detailed ES function management strategies. The integrated zoning framework delineated three municipal-level functional zones—urban expansion and ecological restoration areas, ecological reshaping and industrial transformation areas, and ecological barrier and functional conservation areas. County-level divisions provided more detailed management recommendations to enhance ES supply-demand balance and strengthen ecological resilience. This multi-scale approach advances the theoretical understanding of ES supply-demand dynamics within the WEE framework and provides robust, actionable insights for regional ecological management, resource allocation, and spatial planning. This study provided a comprehensive multi-scale analysis of ES supply-demand dynamics and proposed a multi-tiered ecological spatial optimization framework offering theoretical insights and practical guidance for regional ecological management, resource allocation, and spatial planning.

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肖长江,石雨鑫,李鑫,欧维新,刘涛,张灏琳,刘春英.基于水-能源-生态框架的环鄱阳湖城市群生态系统服务多尺度供需格局及管理分区研究.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202505071093

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