耦合生态水文—经济社会过程的中国旱区国土空间生态修复模拟器
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作者单位:

1.北京师范大学 地理科学学部;2.自然资源部国土整治中心(自然资源部土地科技创新中心);3.北京林业大学 水土保持学院;4.西安科技大学 测绘科学与技术学院

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国家重点研发计划青年科学家项目 (2024YFF1309200)


A simulator coupled ecohydrological and socioeconomic processes for territorial ecological restoration in China’s dryland
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Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes,Ministry of Education,College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University

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    摘要:

    旱区由于缺水导致的强水分胁迫,具有生态系统、社会系统和经济系统的多重脆弱性。开展旱区国土空间生态修复是应对气候变化和人类活动双重压力、提高旱区生态系统韧性的关键途径。面向建设绿色智慧的数字生态文明战略需求,亟需从生态水文-经济社会过程耦合的角度,开发集成生态风险评估、成本效益核算、空间规划选址技术的国土空间生态修复模拟软件,提升规划管理的数字化智能化水平,科学支撑旱区国土空间生态修复决策。本项目以中国北方旱区为主要研究区,聚焦旱区生态-水文过程影响下的生态系统韧性形成机制、旱区社会-经济-生态过程的空间交互作用路径2项关键科学问题,研发基于生态系统韧性的旱区生态风险评估技术、统筹旱区社会-经济-生态过程的生态修复成本效益核算技术、旱区国土空间生态修复规划与决策模型等3项关键技术,旨在为突破国土空间生态修复定量化模拟的技术瓶颈提供科技支撑。

    Abstract:

    Due to the strong water stress caused by water shortage, there are multiple vulnerabilities in the ecosystem, social system and economic system in dryland. Carrying out territorial ecological restoration in dryland is a key approach to adapt to the dual pressures of climate change and human activities, as well as to enhance the ecosystem resilience. In response to the strategic demand for building a green and intelligent digital ecological civilization, it is urgently necessary to develop a simulator for territorial ecological restoration that integrates ecological risk assessment, cost-benefit accounting, and spatial planning and location selection technologies from the perspective of coupling ecohydrological and socioeconomic processes. The overall goals of this project are enhancing the digital and intelligent level of on territorial planning and providing scientific supports on the decision-making of territorial ecological restoration in dryland. This project takes the dryland in northern China as the main study area, focusing on two key scientific issues: the formation mechanism of ecosystem resilience under the influence of ecohydrological processes in dryland, and the spatial interaction path of social-economic-ecological processes in dryland. Three key technologies have been developed, including the ecological risk assessment technology for dryland based on ecosystem resilience, the cost-benefit accounting technology for ecological restoration that integrates the social, economic and ecological processes in dryland, and the planning and decision-making model for territorial ecological restoration of dryland. The outcome will provide scientific and technological supports for breaking through the technical bottleneck of quantitative simulation of territorial ecological restoration.

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刘焱序,王晨旭,张骁,李长嘉,徐子涵,董建权,张东海.耦合生态水文—经济社会过程的中国旱区国土空间生态修复模拟器.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202504261003

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