经济-社会-生态系统下滇中城市群县域产业适配演化的经济增长交互响应关系及障碍因素
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云南省西南联合研究生院科技专项-基础研究和应用基础研究重大项目(202302AO370007);国家自然科学基金项目(42571199)


The economic growth interaction and obstacle factors of county-level industrial adaptation and evolution in the central Yunnan urban agglomeration under the economic-social-ecological system
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    摘要:

    滇中城市群地处我国两大战略走廊--"一带一路"和长江经济带交汇处,具有特殊的地理战略意义。该区域的发展将在推动我国实现"两横三纵"城镇化战略布局方面发挥关键作用。然而,滇中城市群目前面临着较为严峻的产业转型压力,且县域间发展差异显著。基于此,以工业、农业、服务业三大主要行业为例,从经济-社会-生态系统视角出发构建滇中城市群县域产业适配度评价指标体系,使用变异系数法-TOPSIS模型、适配度综合评价模型全面探讨滇中城市群县域产业适配度的时空格局演化特征,并重点分析县域差异及其与经济增长的交互响应特征,在此基础上识别出不同县域产业适配发展的障碍度。研究结果显示:(1)滇中城市群县域产业适配性多以基本适配为主,但县域间差异显著,昆明、玉溪等核心县域适配度较高,而宣威、石屏等边缘县域适配度较低。(2)县域产业适配度与经济增长水平存在长期均衡关系,但交互响应强度因县域经济发展模式不同而呈现显著差异。(3)县域产业适配发展的主要障碍因子为产业资源配置适配与产业技术适配,且障碍度分布呈现明显的县域分异特征。

    Abstract:

    The Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration is located at the intersection of China's two strategic corridors -"the belt and road" and the Yangtze River economic belt, which has special geographical strategic significance. The development of this region will play a key role in promoting the strategic layout of urbanization in China. However, the urban agglomeration in Central Yunnan is currently facing severe pressure of industrial transformation, and the development differences among counties are significant. Based on this, this paper takes the three major industries of industry, agriculture and service industry as an example, constructs the evaluation index system of County Industrial fitness of central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration from the perspective of economy society ecosystem, comprehensively discusses the spatial-temporal pattern evolution characteristics of County Industrial fitness of central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration by using the coefficient of variation TOPSIS Model and fitness comprehensive evaluation model, and focuses on the analysis of county differences and their interactive response characteristics with economic growth, on this basis, identifies the barriers to the development of different county industrial fitness. The results show that: 1 The industrial adaptability of counties in Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration is mainly basic, but there are significant differences among counties. The adaptability of core counties such as Kunming and Yuxi is higher, while the adaptability of marginal counties such as Xuanwei and Shiping is lower. 2. there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the industrial fitness and the level of economic growth at the county level, but the interactive response intensity is significantly different due to different county economic development modes. 3. the main obstacle factors for the development of county industry adaptation are industrial resource allocation adaptation and industrial technology adaptation, and the obstacle degree distribution shows obvious County differentiation characteristics.

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樊艳翔,贺灿飞,罗业典,李文韬.经济-社会-生态系统下滇中城市群县域产业适配演化的经济增长交互响应关系及障碍因素.生态学报,2026,46(1):253~272

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