基于"分布-集聚-转移"视角的长江经济带水生态产品价值核算及时空演化
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国家自然科学基金青年项目(72404169);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(24YJC630094)


Study on the accounting and spatiotemporal evolution of the value of water ecological products in the Yangtze River Economic Belt based on the perspective of "Distribution-Agglomeration- Transformation"
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    摘要:

    水生态产品是我国生态文明建设和"两山"理论在水资源领域的重要载体,其价值核算及时空演化分析对水资源可持续利用和经济高质量发展十分重要。以长江经济带为例,在核算其2014-2022年水生态产品价值的基础上,综合运用空间基尼系数、Moran's I指数及标准差椭圆方法从"分布-集聚-转移"三维视角探究其时空演化规律。研究发现:(1)长江经济带2014-2022年水生态产品价值较高但省际差异较大,价值核算结果整体呈现"上游>中游>下游"的空间分布特征,其中四川的水生态产品价值最高,上海最低;各组成部分核算结果基本呈现"调节服务>物质供给>文化服务"的差异特征。(2)长江经济带水生态产品价值及调节服务价值存在空间正相关,物质供给价值和文化服务价值尚不存在空间自相关。水生态产品价值存在资源禀赋正外部性,水资源禀赋更为丰富的上中游水生态产品价值多呈现"高-高"集聚;但其政策的正向溢出效应尚不明显,下游推行了很多提升水生态产品价值的政策措施却仍主要呈现"低-低"集聚。(3)长江经济带水生态产品价值重心,特别是调节服务价值重心,与经济重心、人口重心、地理重心间存在显著的空间偏离,资源错配现象明显。据此,本文从差异化调控、协同性治理、反哺式转化三方面提出政策措施,以期实现长江经济带水资源可持续利用,经济高质量发展以及生态保护与经济发展的协调适配。

    Abstract:

    Water ecological products were an important carrier of China's ecological civilization construction and the "two mountains" theory in water resources management. Valuing water ecological products and analyzing their spatiotemporal evolution were crucial for the sustainable water resource utilization and high-quality economic development. This paper took the Yangtze River Economic Belt as a case study. Based on the accounting of the value of water ecological products from 2014 to 2022, we employed the spatial Gini coefficient, Moran's index, and standard deviation ellipse method to explore its spatiotemporal evolution through a three-dimensional "Distribution-Agglomeration- Transformation" framework. It was found that: (1) The value of water ecological products in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2014 to 2022 was high, but there were large inter-provincial differences. The overall spatial distribution of the value accounting results was characterized by "upstream>midstream>downstream", with Sichuan having the highest value while Shanghai having the lowest one. The value accounting results of components exhibited differentiated characteristics in the order of "regulation services>material supply>cultural services" generally. (2) A positive spatial correlation existed in the value of water ecological products and the value of regulating services in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, while no spatial autocorrelation was observed in the value of material supply and the value of cultural services. The value of water ecological products exhibited positive resource endowment externalities, with the upper and middle Yangtze River reaches, which had better water resource endowment, showing predominant "high-high" agglomeration. However, the policy spillover effects were not significant. Although many policy measures had been implemented in the lower Yangtze River reaches, the value of water ecological products was still mainly characterized by "low-low" agglomeration. (3) The center of gravity of the value of water ecological products in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, especially the center of gravity of the value of regulating services, had significant spatial deviation from the economy, population, and geography centers of gravity, and exhibited obvious resource mismatch. Accordingly, this paper proposed three policy measures-differentiated regulation, synergistic governance, and feedback transformation-to realize sustainable water resource use, high-quality economic development and coordinated ecological-economic adaptation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

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彭青玲,何伟军,孔阳,沈菊琴.基于"分布-集聚-转移"视角的长江经济带水生态产品价值核算及时空演化.生态学报,2025,45(24):12042~12059

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