近40年中国植被对复合干热事件的抵抗和恢复响应及其驱动因素
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国家自然科学基金(42201124);中国博士后科学基金(2023M740433);重庆市自然科学基金创新发展联合基金项目(CSTB2025NSCQ-LZX0118);重庆创业创新支持计划项目(2204012976986965)


The resistance and recovery responses of vegetation to compound drought-heat events in China and their driving factors analysis over the past 40 years
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    摘要:

    在全球变暖的背景下,极端气候事件的频率和强度持续上升,给生态系统和社会经济发展带来了严峻挑战。与单一极端事件相比,复合干热事件(Compound Dry and Hot Events, CDHEs),即干旱和高温热浪的联合影响,成为对植被生态功能的重要威胁。然而,植被对复合干热事件的抵抗和恢复响应及其驱动机制仍不明确。基于1982-2022年的ERA5-Land气候再分析数据、归一化植被指数(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI)数据以及中国植被类型数据,利用标准化降水蒸散发指数(Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI)、标准化温度指数(Standardized Temperature Index, STI),结合Frank Copula函数构建复合干热指数(Standardized Compound Dry and Hot Index, SCDHI),研究中国复合干热事件的时空分布特征及其强度、严重度等基本特征,探讨了不同植被类型对复合干热事件的响应,重点分析了抵抗性和恢复性。通过计算驱动因子的贡献率,量化了各驱动因子对复合干热事件中的作用。研究结果显示:(1)复合干热事件在时空分布上表现出显著的区域性差异,华北、华中及西南地区由于降水分布不均、气温较高、湿度较低,易发生高强度且持续时间长的复合干热事件,而长江流域受季风调控,复合干热事件的严重度较高;从时间变化趋势来看,植被抵抗性和恢复性整体变化不显著,但部分区域生态韧性有所下降;(2)不同植被类型对复合干热事件响应差异显著。高山植被、沼泽、针叶林、阔叶林、针阔叶混交林和草甸的抵抗性较高(中位数均超过1.7);而栽培植被、草原、草丛和灌丛的抵抗性相对较低。灌丛、栽培植被、草甸、草原和草丛恢复性较高;针叶林、阔叶林、针阔叶混交林、高山植被以及沼泽的恢复性相对较低;(3)复合干热事件的驱动因子贡献率呈现阶段性和区域性差异:在抵抗阶段,主要降水和饱和水汽压影响,尤其是在华北、华中和西南地区;在恢复阶段,降水对植被恢复有较大影响,特别在华北和东北地区。研究结果为区域生态管理和适应性调控提供了科学依据。

    Abstract:

    Under global warming, the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events are exhibiting a pronounced upward trend, imposing severe challenges to ecosystems and socio-economic development. Notably, compound dry and hot events (CDHEs)-characterized by the synergistic effects of drought and extreme heat-have emerged as a critical threat to vegetation ecological functioning, surpassing the impacts of individual extremes. However, the response processes of vegetation to CDHEs, particularly the spatial patterns and underlying drivers of its resistance and recovery, remains elusive in current studies. Based on ERA5-Land climate reanalysis data, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data, and vegetation type data in China from 1982 to 2022, this study developed a Standardized Compound Dry and Hot Index (SCDHI). The SCDHI was constructed through the integration of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Standardized Temperature Index (STI) employing the Frank Copula function. The SCDHI subsequently elucidated the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of CDHEs, including intensity and severity, and investigated the responses of different vegetation types to these events, with particular focus on their resistance and recovery. Finally, through quantitative assessment of driving factor contributions, the study further clarified the relative importance of different environmental controls on vegetation resistance and recovery to CDHEs. The results revealed regional heterogeneity in the spatiotemporal distribution of CDHEs. North China, Central China, and Southwest China emerge as hotspots for high-intensity, prolonged CDHEs, primarily attributable to precipitation variability, elevated temperatures, and reduced atmospheric humidity. In contrast, the Yangtze River Basin, influenced by monsoon dynamics, experienced higher severity of CDHEs. From a temporal perspective, the overall changes in vegetation resistance and recovery are not significant, but ecological resilience has declined in some regions. Substantial variability in vegetation resilience to CDHEs was observed across different ecosystem types. Alpine vegetation, marshes, forest vegetation, and meadows exhibited higher resistance (median values above 1.7), while cultivated vegetation, grassland (excluding meadows), and shrublands displayed relatively lower resistance. Conversely, shrublands, croplands, and grasslands demonstrated enhanced recovery potential, in contrast to forests, alpine ecosystems, and wetlands which showed more limited recovery capabilities. The contribution rates of driving factors for CDHEs exhibited distinct temporal and spatial patterns. During the resistance phase, precipitation and saturated vapor pressure were the dominant factors, particularly in North China, Central China, and Southwest China. During the recovery phase, precipitation played a major role in vegetation recovery, especially in North China and Northeast China. These findings provide scientific evidence for developing regional ecological management and adaptive regulation.

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李好,谭真平,桂鑫源,吴光明,姜亮亮.近40年中国植被对复合干热事件的抵抗和恢复响应及其驱动因素.生态学报,2025,45(24):12288~12305

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