基于供需关系的固碳服务全程耦合流动机制及补偿方案探究—以京津冀地区为例
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1.中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所北方干旱半干旱耕地高效利用全国重点实验室;2.中国人民大学生态环境学院;3.中国人民大学长江经济带研究院;4.中国人民大学国家发展与战略研究院;5.中国科学院生态环境研究中心区域与城市生态安全全国重点实验室;6.中国科学院大学

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国家自然科学(42271113,42471314);国家重点研发计划子课题 (2022YFD2001105-03);中国科协青年人才托举工程项目(2021QNRC001);


The metacoupling flow mechanism and compensation strategies of carbon sequestration service based on the supply-demand relationship: A case study of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.
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1.State Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilization of Arable Land in China,The Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences;2.School of Ecology Environment,Renmin University of China;3.Changjiang River Economic Belt Institute, Renmin University of China;4.National Academy of Development and Strategy, Renmin University of China;5.State Key Laboratory of Reginal and Urban Ecology,Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences;6.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    固碳服务以大气为载体传输,其流动具有域外效应,在为本地带来惠益的同时,也会对周边地区产生溢出效益。这种溢出效益往往缺乏有效评估,导致固碳服务流出地区在发展中承担着更高的机会成本,尤其在高度城市化及其周边地区尤为明显。基于固碳服务流进行生态补偿可明确补偿关系,通过经济手段内化外部效益,维护环境公平。然而,仅考虑区域内部无法全面刻画碳的空间流动,明晰固碳服务区域内部及区域之间的全程耦合流动(原位流、近程流及远程流)机制,并据此构建生态补偿方案对于促进地区固碳增效具有重要意义。以京津冀地区为例,采用比较生态辐射力模拟固碳服务全程流动,分析其2000—2020年的时空演化特征,基于此核算碳补偿金额,探究地区适应性生态补偿方案。结果表明:(1)京津冀固碳服务供给呈西北高、东南低的空间分布特征,需求则相反,供需空间错配明显。二十年间,总供给量减少,总需求量增长。(2)京津冀固碳服务盈余主要分布在西部和北部山区,赤字则主要分布在中东部和南部平原地区;高-高聚集呈块状分布在西部和北部,低-低聚集呈条状沿东部-中部-中南部-南部分布,并且高-高聚集和低-低聚集面积逐渐扩大。(3)京津冀固碳服务流出地区先减少后增加,流动范围先增加后基本不变,总流量不断减少,流向京津冀外部的远程流量占总流量的比例持续上升,上升了约6%。(4)2010年和2020年京津冀地区受偿市为承德、张家口、北京和保定,受偿总金额约为7.18亿元和4.80亿元,金额减少,两年中,承德受偿最多,北京和保定受偿最少,来自京津冀外部地区的受偿金额占比增加。未来,应从管理属性上分析固碳服务全程耦合流动,重点关注域外效应对区域内部流动的影响,同时,在实践中应结合碳交易市场,制定区域协同的横向补偿与纵向补偿相结合的综合生态补偿政策,为地区制定碳补偿政策及低碳发展提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Carbon sequestration service is transmitted through the atmosphere, and its flow has extraterritorial effects. It not only benefits local areas but also generates spillover benefits in surrounding regions. These spillover benefits are often inadequately assessed, resulting in higher opportunity costs for regions exporting carbon sequestration services, particularly in highly urbanized areas and their surrounding regions. The ecological compensation derived from carbon sequestration flow can explain the relationship between compensation payers and recipients, alleviating the conflicts among stakeholders, and then promoting regional low-carbon development. However, only considering internal flow within a region cannot fully capture the spatial dynamics of carbon flow. Understanding the metacoupling flow mechanism of carbon sequestration both interregional and intraregional and developing ecological compensation strategies are crucial for regional carbon sequestration. Therefore, this study took the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region of China as the study area. A comparative ecological radiation force model was used to simulate the metacoupling flow of carbon sequestration. On this basis, the carbon compensation amounts were calculated, and the ecological compensation strategies suitable for the region were explored. The results showed that: (1) The supply of carbon sequestration exhibited a spatial distribution pattern characterized by higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast, while the demand showed the opposite trend. Over the past two decades, the total supply decreased, while the total demand increased. (2) The surpluses of carbon sequestration were predominantly located in the western and northern mountain areas, while the deficits were concentrated in the central, eastern, and southern plains. High-high clusters were found in the western and northern areas, while low-low clusters were distributed in a strip extending from the central to the southern regions. Both high-high and low-low clusters expanded over time. (3) The carbon sequestration outflow areas in the BTH initially decreased, followed by an increase from 2000 to 2020. The ranges of the flow expanded initially, then stabilized. The total flows were continuously declining, while the proportion of the long-distance flows transmitted to the regions outside the BTH steadily increased, rising by approximately 6%. (4) In 2010 and 2020, Chengde, Zhangjiakou, Beijing, and Baoding were the main compensation recipients, with total amounts of approximately 718 million CNY and 480 million CNY, respectively. The overall compensation amount declined over time, with Chengde receiving the highest share, while Beijing and Baoding received the least. The proportion of compensation paid by external regions of BTH increased. Future efforts should be focused on analyzing the metacoupling flow of carbon sequestration service from a governance perspective, emphasizing external spillover effects. Meanwhile, with the incorporation of carbon trading markets, the comprehensive ecological compensation policy that integrates both across regions and across different governance levels should be further developed in practice, providing references for the formulation of regional carbon compensation policies and low-carbon development.

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谷俊伟,孙晓,冼超凡,方广极,王晨睿,张旭艺,查燕.基于供需关系的固碳服务全程耦合流动机制及补偿方案探究—以京津冀地区为例.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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