秦岭生态资产实物量账户变化特征及其驱动因素——基于SEEA-EA框架
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国家自然科学基金专项项目(72349001)


Changes in physical accounts of ecological assets and their driving factors in the Qinling Mountains: based on the SEEA-EA framework
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    摘要:

    生态资产是人类福祉与经济发展的重要根基,全面了解生态资产存量的范围、状况及其变化,对于评估区域可持续发展能力具有重要意义。基于SEEA-EA框架,以生态资产丰富的秦岭地区为对象,构建生态资产存量账户(范围账户、状况账户),并结合趋势分析方法,探究秦岭地区2000-2020年生态资产状况时空变化特征,同时利用地理探测器分析其驱动因素。结果表明:秦岭地区2000年生态资产范围账户主要包括森林(55.75%)、农田(28.03%)和草地(14.06%),2020年森林资产范围增至60.43%,而农田和草地资产范围分别减至23.78%和12.51%,退耕还林政策是生态资产范围账户变化的主要驱动因素;秦岭地区生态资产状况呈现出"中部较高,南北较低"的分布特征,2000-2020年秦岭地区53.78%的生态资产范围呈现较显著或显著改善,农田和草地生态资产状况因土壤肥力下降、景观破碎化等因素而略有下降,森林、水体、城镇及裸地生态资产状况整体提升,但它们的物理指标、化学指标或功能指标在局部地区仍呈退化趋势。驱动因素分析显示,自然因子对生态资产状况变化具有较强影响,其中年均降水的独立解释力最强(q>0.35)。生态工程、城镇化以及人口密度对秦岭生态资产状况产生突出的交互影响。通过构建多维度生态资产评估体系,不仅验证了 SEEA-EA 框架在复杂山地区的适用性,更重要的是揭示了生态资产"量-质-构"协同演变的规律及其驱动机制。研究成果可为制定差异化的生态资产管理策略提供直接依据:在秦岭南部应加强降水调控,北部需严格控制城镇扩张,中部则要重点维持生态工程实施成效。本研究建立的方法体系和技术路径,对于我国其他生态脆弱区开展生态资产核算与管理工作具有重要的参考价值。

    Abstract:

    Ecological assets serve as a fundamental basis for human well-being and economic development. A comprehensive understanding of the scope, condition, and changes in ecological asset stock is crucial for assessing regional sustainability. Based on the SEEA-EA framework, this study focused on the ecologically rich Qinling Mountains and constructs an ecological asset stock account (including scope and condition accounts). Using trend analysis methods, we examined the spatiotemporal changes in ecological asset conditions from 2000 to 2020, and employed the geographical detector method to analyze driving factors. The results indicated that in 2000, the ecological asset scope in the Qinling Mountains primarily comprised forests (55.75%), farmland (28.03%), and grassland (14.06%). By 2020, the forest asset area had increased to 60.43%, while farmland and grassland had decreased to 23.78% and 12.51%, respectively, with the Grain-for-Green Program being the primary driver of these changes. The spatial distribution of ecological asset conditions exhibited a pattern of "higher in the central region, lower in the north and south." From 2000 to 2020, 53.78% of the ecological asset area showed significant or highly significant improvement. However, the conditions of farmland and grassland slightly declined due to factors such as soil fertility loss and landscape fragmentation. In contrast, the conditions of forests, wetlands, urban areas, and bare land improved overall, though their physical, chemical, or functional indicators exhibited localized degradation..Driver analysis showed that natural factors had a strong influence on changes in ecological asset status, with average annual precipitation having the strongest independent explanatory power (q>0.35). Ecological engineering, urbanization, and population density had prominent interactive effects on the ecological asset status of the Qinling Mountains. By constructing a multi-dimensional ecological asset assessment system, this study not only verified the applicability of the SEEA-EA framework in the complex mountainous region, but also revealed the synergistic evolution of ecological assets in terms of "quantity-quality-construction" and its driving mechanism. The results of this study provide a direct basis for the development of differentiated ecological asset management strategies: in the southern part of the Qinling Mountains, precipitation control should be strengthened; in the northern part of the mountains, urban expansion should be strictly controlled; and in the central part of the mountains, the effectiveness of ecological projects should be maintained. The methodological system and technical paths established in this study are important references for ecological asset accounting and management in other ecologically fragile areas in China.

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张典典,郑华,张世栋,张建.秦岭生态资产实物量账户变化特征及其驱动因素——基于SEEA-EA框架.生态学报,2025,45(24):11948~11960

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