干旱对云南省植被生产力影响的累积效应和滞后效应
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1.云南省气候中心;2.云南省临沧市气象局

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云南省重点研发计划社会发展专项(202403AC100026);云南省气象局自筹科研项目(YZ202503);云南省重点研发计划社会发展专项(202203AC100005);云南气象局创新团队项目(2022CX05)


Cumulative and lag effects of drought on vegetation productivity in Yunnan Province
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1.yunnan climate center;2.Yunnan Climate Center;3.Yunnan Lincang Meteorological Bureau

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    摘要:

    植被总初级生产力(Gross Primary Productivity,GPP)是陆地生态系统碳汇的重要组成部分。深入理解干旱对植被 GPP 影响的累积效应和滞后效应,揭示植被响应机制,对云南省生态安全具有重要意义。然而,关于植被 GPP 干旱响应机制的时空异质性和影响因子的研究仍较为匮乏。研究基于2001—2023年植被 GPP 和标准化降水蒸散发指数数据,采用时间序列分析方法和最大相关系数法,分析了云南省气象干旱和植被 GPP 的时空变化特征,量化并探讨了干旱对植被 GPP 的累积效应与滞后效应,及其受长期干湿状况和海拔的影响。结果表明:(1)近23年以来,云南省总体上表现为不显著干旱化趋势。干旱的高发区域主要分布在西北部、西部和中东部,高发时段为春季和秋季。植被 GPP 多年均值为1600.2 g·C m-2,年际变化表现为极显著上升趋势(6.8 g·C m-2 a-1,P < 0.001),但年际波动较为明显。(2)植被 GPP 对干旱的响应具有明显的时空异质性,以秋季和春季响应最为显著,空间上干热河谷地区最易受干旱影响,响应强烈且迅速。(3)全省 52.0%和 54.9%的区域植被 GPP 显著受干旱累积效应和滞后效应的影响。累积效应时间尺度以中短期(4—6 个月)和长期(10—12 个月)为主,滞后时间以长期(10—12 个月)为主。相较灌木和森林,农田和草地对干旱的响应更强烈、时间尺度更短。滞后时间在不同植被类型间的差异较小。(4)长期干湿状况和海拔是影响干旱累积效应和滞后效应的重要因素。随着环境从干燥转为湿润或是海拔升高,干旱影响强度会逐渐降低,累积效应时间尺度延长,而滞后时间则缩短。海拔对干旱影响强度的作用大于干湿状况,而累积效应时间尺度和滞后时间受干湿状况的影响则更显著。研究结果可以为干旱风险缓解与应对管理策略的制定提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    The gross primary productivity (GPP) of vegetation is a vital component of carbon sinks within terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding the cumulative and lagged effects of drought on vegetation GPP, as well as elucidating the response mechanisms of vegetation, is crucial for the ecological security of the Yunnan Province. However, research on the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of vegetation GPP drought response mechanisms and their influencing factors remains limited. Utilizing data on vegetation GPP and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index from 2001 to 2023, this study employed time-series analysis and the maximum correlation coefficient method to examine the temporal and spatial characteristics of meteorological drought and vegetation GPP in Yunnan Province. This study quantified and explored the cumulative and lagged effects of drought on vegetation GPP, considering the influence of long-term wet and dry conditions and altitude. The findings indicated that: (1) Over the past 23 years, Yunnan Province has exhibited a generally non-significant drought trend. High drought incidence primarily occurred in the northwest, west, and east-central regions, particularly during spring and fall. The multi-year average vegetation GPP was 1600.2 g·C m-2, demonstrating a highly significant upward trend (6.8 g·C m-2 a-1, P < 0.001), with notable interannual fluctuations. (2) The response of vegetation GPP to drought exhibited pronounced spatial and temporal heterogeneity. The most significant responses occurred in fall and spring. Spatially, the dry and hot valley areas were the most susceptible to drought, displaying a strong and rapid response. (3) Vegetation GPP in 52.0% and 54.9% of the province"s areas was significantly influenced by the drought cumulative effect and lagged effect, respectively. The time scales of the cumulative effect were predominantly short- to medium-term (4-6 months) and long-term (10-12 months), with the lag time primarily long-term (10-12 months). Compared with shrubs and forests, farmland and grassland exhibited stronger responses to drought over shorter timescales. The differences in lag times among the vegetation types were minimal. (4) Long-term dry and wet conditions and altitude were significant factors affecting the cumulative and lagged effects of drought. The intensity of drought impacts decreased as the environment transitioned from dry to wet, and as elevation increased, the time scale of cumulative effects lengthened, and the lag time shortened. Altitude exerted a greater influence on the intensity of drought impacts than wet and dry conditions, whereas the time scale of cumulative effects and lag time were more significantly affected by wet and dry conditions. The results of this study provided a scientific basis for the development of drought risk mitigation and response management strategies.

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徐虹,王玉尤婷,周云,张茂松.干旱对云南省植被生产力影响的累积效应和滞后效应.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202502180342

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