基于大数据波动和"以物易物"的生态产品价值实现
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南海局科技发展基金项目(24YD01);自然资源部南海遥感测绘协同应用技术创新中心开放基金项目(RSSMCA-2024-B009)


Study on the valuation of ecological products based on big data fluctuation and "barter"
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    摘要:

    生态产品的多样性丰富、价值核算复杂、市场交易困难,凸显了以货币为基础的价值核算体系的局限。从公地悲剧和滞后效应角度分析了生态产品价值实现困境,重点以碳汇交易为例分析生态产品交易数据的波动趋势,发现与其关注生态产品价值核算精度,不如利用已有数据进行生态产品供需关系和人类劳动产生价值的变化趋势监测,进而对经济发展和生态保护政策进行精准调控;"以物易物"模式能够克服货币交易的局限,交易者之间直接用生态产品换取其他生态产品、工农业产品或公共资源,为生态产品价值实现提供了新的路径。提出对策建议:围绕生态产品供需整合多学科数据,开展大数据波动监测;借助湿地缓解银行理念,建立生态产品价值非货币形式的交易或抵消机制;政府先行示范,采购或补偿企业生产的生态产品,通过生态修复项目,促进社会资本提升生态产品产量和质量。

    Abstract:

    The high diversity of ecological products, the complexity of value accounting, and the difficulty of market trading underscored the limitations of a currency-based value accounting system. The supply of ecological products has long been above the saturation line of consumers' demand in the past, while the supply of industrial and agricultural products has been below this line, the concern of consumers for ecological products was lower than the increase of industrial and agricultural products.This paper examined the challenges in valuing ecological products from the perspectives of the tragedy of the commons and the lag effect, and found that the value of ecological products varies with different locations, periods, consumer purchase intention, and stages of economic development. In the long term, ecological products value fluctuation trends should align with the value generated by human labour; in the short term, it should align with tradable ecological products value. Without government's intervention, ecological products value in a region is determined by "vote by residents' feet" ultimately, with a significant ecological and economic lost. Ecological products production is competing for limited resources with agricultural and industrial products production, the key to achieving both production growth lies in reducing resource consumption (including land and minerals) and increasing energy consumption (consume more energy to save land, such as building high-rise constructions, and develop efficient agriculture). This study analyzed development process of the carbon trading market, and used carbon trading as an example to analyze fluctuations in the trading data of ecological products. It argued that rather than focusing solely on the precision of ecological product value accounting, it was more effective to leverage existing data to monitor trends in the supply-demand relationship of ecological products and the value created by human labor, thereby enabling precise adjustments to policies for economic development and ecological protection. Additionally, the "barter" model could address the limitations of monetary transactions by allowing traders to directly exchange ecological products for other ecological products, industrial and agricultural goods, or public resources, thus offering a novel pathway for realizing the value of ecological products. To facilitate the realization of ecological product value, this study proposed the following strategies: Firstly, integrate multi-disciplinary data around the supply and demand of ecological products and carry out big data fluctuation monitoring; Secondly, by leveraging wetlands to alleviate the concept of banks, establish a non-monetary transaction or offset mechanism for the value of ecological products; Thirdly, the government should take the lead in demonstrating procurement or compensation for ecological products produced by enterprises, creating new consumer-driven demand for ecological products. Combined with fiscal support projects for ecological conservation and restoration, this approach can encourage social capital to develop new productive forces aimed at enhancing the quantity and quality of ecological products, jointly addressing global climate crises and other challenges, and achieving a win-win outcome for EV and HV.

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徐淑升,杨云锋,陈新平,孙庆杨.基于大数据波动和"以物易物"的生态产品价值实现.生态学报,2025,45(24):12072~12082

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