海岸带生态韧性与土地利用强度的时空关系及影响因素--以宁波市蟹钳港为例
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宁波市"科技创新2025"重大专项(2022Z181);国家自然科学基金项目(42276234);浙江省新型重点专业智库宁波大学东海研究院课题(DHST202401ZD03,DHYJY2025ZD04)


Spatio-temporal relationship and influencing factors between ecological resilience of coastal zone and land use intensity: a case study of Xieqian port, Ningbo
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    摘要:

    生态韧性为海岸带生态系统应对内外风险扰动提供了全新思路,准确识别生态韧性与土地利用强度的时空关系,对推动海岸带可持续发展具有重要意义。构建抵抗力-适应力-恢复力生态韧性评价模型和土地利用强度模型,分析了2000-2022年蟹钳港生态韧性与土地利用强度的时空演变格局,基于双变量空间自相关和耦合协调模型探究分析两者的时空关系,最后基于地理探测器探测两者耦合协调的影响因素。结果表明:(1)2000-2022年生态韧性呈现波动下降的变化趋势,生态系统抵抗力除2005-2010年外,其余年份均不断下降,生态系统适应力略微波动上升,生态系统恢复力先上升后下降;(2)2000-2022年蟹钳港土地利用强度先下降后不断上升,以低等级强度和中等等级强度为主;(3)2000-2022年蟹钳港生态韧性与土地利用强度呈现显著负相关,处于初级协调阶段,耦合协调水平较高;(4)地形和坡度是影响生态韧性与土地利用强度耦合协调的主导因素,社会经济因素的影响程度快速增长,交互探测以双因子增强作用为主。

    Abstract:

    Ecological resilience offers a novel framework for coastal ecosystems to address internal and external risk disturbances. Accurately identifying the spatiotemporal relationship between ecological resilience and land use intensity holds significance for promoting sustainable development in coastal zones. This study established an ecological resilience evaluation model integrating resistance, adaptability, and recovery, alongside a land use intensity model, to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of ecological resilience and land use intensity in Xieqian port from 2000 to 2022. Their spatiotemporal relationships were explored via bivariate spatial autocorrelation and coupling coordination models, with influencing factors of their coupling coordination further detected using geodetectors. The results indicated: (1) Ecological resilience exhibited a fluctuating downward trend from 2000 to 2022. Ecosystem resistance declined continuously in all years except 2005-2010, while ecosystem adaptability showed a slight fluctuating upward trend, and ecosystem recovery first increased then decreased; (2) Land use intensity in Xieqian port decreased initially before continuously increasing from 2000 to 2022, predominantly at low and medium intensity levels; (3) A significant negative correlation was observed between ecological resilience and land use intensity from 2000 to 2022, remaining in the primary coordination stage with a relatively high coupling coordination level; (4) Terrain and slope emerged as dominant factors influencing the coupling coordination of ecological resilience and land use intensity, with the influence magnitude of socioeconomic factors increasing rapidly. Interaction detection was predominantly characterized by the two-factor enhancement effect.

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应超,李加林,刘永超,陈宇昕,曹罗丹,田鹏,陈璐怡.海岸带生态韧性与土地利用强度的时空关系及影响因素--以宁波市蟹钳港为例.生态学报,2026,46(2):753~770

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