中国省域绿色全要素生产率空间关联网络的结构特征及演化机制研究
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1.湘潭大学;2.湖南财政经济学院

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国家自然科学(42371192);湖南省自然科学(2023JJ30604)


Structural characteristics and evolutionary mechanism of spatial correlation network of provincial green total factor productivity in China
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1.Xiangtan University;2.Hunan University of Finance and Economics

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    摘要:

    精准把握区域绿色全要素生产率的空间关联网络特征,探究省域绿色全要素生产率空间关联网络的动态演变机制,找寻区域绿色全要素生产率的最优提升路径,是实现区域经济高质量发展的的关键所在。基于社会网络分析法剖析2006—2021年中国30个省绿色全要素生产率空间关联特征,结合TERGM模型探究省域绿色全要素生产率空间关联网络的形成和演化机制。研究结果表明:(1)区域绿色全要素生产率整体呈增长态势,空间上呈现东部>中部>西部的不均衡特征,且由于马太效应东西差距逐渐扩大。(2)省际间绿色全要素生产率合作关联突破了地理邻近性。探索发现虽然绿色全要素生产率空间关联网络呈现出复杂、多线程的结构特征,但核心—边缘结构明显,说明目前尚未构成完整的要素传递路径。(3)借助块模分析将总区域划分为四个板块,发现板块发展不平衡,板块内联系稀疏,板块间联系存在深化空间。其中以北京、天津、上海为主的“净受益”板块虹吸效应大于辐射效应,主导地位凸显;以内蒙古、黑龙江、青海等在内的“净溢出”板块溢出效应显著,绿色发展潜力有待激发。(4)TERGM结果表明中国绿色全要素生产率空间关联网络的形成和演化受到要素、市场、政府、地理距离等多重因素的综合影响,因此缓解区域绿色全要素生产率增长差异,加快经济社会发展全面绿色转型需发挥多主体、多要素、多环节的协同作用。

    Abstract:

    Precisely grasping the spatial correlation network characteristics of regional green total factor productivity, exploring its dynamic evolutionary mechanisms, and accurately identifying the most effective paths for enhancing and sustaining regional green total factor productivity are crucial to achieve sustainable and high-quality regional economic development. This study employs social network analysis to meticulously analyze the spatial correlation features of green total factor productivity across China's 30 provinces from 2006 to 2021, systematically investigating the formation mechanisms and evolutionary dynamics of provincial green total factor productivity spatial correlation networks through temporal dependency analysis and network structure decomposition. Utilizing the temporal exponential random graph model (TERGM), the research elucidates multi-scale interactions among market forces, policy interventions, and geographic constraints, aiming to identify trend drivers and quantify synergistic effects in comprehensive green transformation. The results show that: (1) Provincial green total factor productivity is on an upward trajectory, yet it displays pronounced spatial disparities, with a distinct hierarchical pattern emerging where the Eastern regions outperform the Central, which in turn surpass the Western regions. The persistent Matthew effect has progressively widened the development gap between the prosperous Eastern and the less developed Western regions. (2) Inter-provincial cooperation and correlation in green total factor productivity have transcended geographical proximity. The exploration unveils that, despite the intricate, multi-dimensional, and diverse structural characteristics inherent in the spatial correlation network of provincial green total factor productivity, the strikingly evident core-periphery structure serves as a clear indication of the unfinished development and incomplete establishment of a seamless and efficient factor transmission pathway. (3) By employing modular analysis to segment the entire region into four distinct plates, it becomes apparent that development is markedly uneven, with notably sparse internal connections. This suggests that there is considerable scope for enhancing and deepening inter-provincial collaborations. Among these plates, the "net beneficiary" segment, primarily led by Beijing, Tianjin, and Shanghai, demonstrates a pronounced siphon effect that overshadows its radiation effect, thereby emphasizing their prominent and influential position. On the other hand, the "net spillover" regions, encompassing Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, and Qinghai, exhibit substantial spillover effects, indicating a significant untapped potential for green development that necessitates stimulation and cultivation to fully harness their capabilities. (4) The TERGM results indicate that the formation and evolution of China's spatial correlation network for green total factor productivity are influenced by many factors, including market dynamics, government policies, and geographic proximity. To mitigate regional disparities in green total factor productivity growth and expedite the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development, it is imperative to harness the synergistic effects of multiple stakeholders, factors, and connections. This underscores the need for a holistic approach integrating various entities and elements to foster a more equitable and sustainable green development path.

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吴朝霞,龙思宇,杨胜苏,孙坤.中国省域绿色全要素生产率空间关联网络的结构特征及演化机制研究.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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