1990-2022年祁连山国家公园碳储量时空变化及驱动因素分析
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甘肃农业大学

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甘肃省教育厅高校科研创新平台重大培育项目(2024CXPT-07 )


Spatiotemporal variation of carbon storage and its driving factors in Qilian Mountain National Park from 1990 to 2022
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甘肃农业大学

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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    全球气候变暖和冰雪融化等现象日益加剧,加速了生态系统的退化,特别是在“双碳”战略背景下,明确碳储量对气候变化和人类活动的响应变得尤为重要。本文基于1990-2022年逐年土地利用/覆被数据,应用InVEST模型计算了逐年碳储量,并结合Sen + MK趋势分析和Spearman相关性分析,探讨了该区域碳储量的变化趋势及其驱动因素。结果表明:1)过去33年间该地区碳储量空间差异明显,平均碳储量为112.12 t,碳储总量呈轻微上升趋势,显著变化的区域面积仅占1.11%;2)在不同土地利用/覆被类型中,森林具有最强的碳储能力,而草原由于其广泛的分布,碳储总量最大;3)在极显著水平(p<0.001)下,地形(不包括坡向因素)、土壤、气候及土壤因子均与碳储量显著相关。尤其是气温(r=0.489)、蒸散发量(r=0.406)和人类足迹(r=0.460)对碳储量的正向驱动作用显著高于降水量、粘土和细粉砂等因子,而海拔对碳储量呈负向驱动(r=-0.514)。本研究揭示了该区域碳储量的时空变化规律,并深入探讨了影响碳储量的关键因素,为未来生态保护与碳汇管理提供了重要的科学依据。

    Abstract:

    The phenomena of global climate warming and ice-snow melting are intensifying, accelerating ecosystem degradation. Against the backdrop of the "dual carbon" strategy, understanding the response of carbon storage to climate change and human activities has become crucial. This study utilizes annual land use/land cover data from 1990 to 2022 and applies the InVEST model to calculate annual carbon storage. The Sen + MK trend analysis and Spearman correlation analysis were employed to explore the trends and drivers of carbon storage changes in the Qilian Mountains National Park. The results indicate the following: 1) Over the past 33 years, carbon storage exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity, with an average carbon storage of 112.12 t and a slight overall increasing trend. The area with significant changes accounted for only 1.11% of the region; 2) Among different land use/land cover types, forests had the highest carbon storage capacity, whereas grasslands, due to their extensive distribution, had the largest total carbon storage; 3) At a highly significant level (p < 0.001), terrain (excluding aspect), soil, climate, and soil factors were all significantly correlated with carbon storage. In particular, temperature (r = 0.489), evapotranspiration (r = 0.406), and human footprint (r = 0.460) showed significantly stronger positive driving effects on carbon storage compared to precipitation, clay, and fine silt, whereas elevation had a negative impact (r = -0.514). This study reveals the spatiotemporal patterns of carbon storage in the region and deeply explores the key factors influencing carbon storage, providing essential scientific insights for future ecological protection and carbon sink management.

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刘雪霞,郝媛媛,孟哲,何生申,安春春,陈松清,楚彬,花立民.1990-2022年祁连山国家公园碳储量时空变化及驱动因素分析.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202411122761

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