基于BEPS模型的长江流域蒸散发及其组分变化的机理研究
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作者单位:

1.南京信息工程大学;2.南京信息工程大学大气科学学院;3.南京信息工程大学生态与应用气象学院

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国家自然科学(42075189)


Causes for spatiotemporal changes in evapotranspiration and its components over the Yangtze River Basin based on the BEPS model
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Atmospheric Sciences,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology;2.School of Ecology and Applied Meteorology,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

Fund Project:

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    作为我国中部和北部的重要水资源供给区,近年来长江流域水资源分配的不均匀性以及供给能力的不稳定性日益加剧。蒸散发(ET,Evapotranspiration)是直接影响流域水资源供给能力的重要因子,因此,厘清ET及其组分土壤蒸发(E,Soil evaporation)、蒸腾(T,Transpiration)和冠层截留蒸发(Ei,Vegetation interception of evaporation)变化的相关物理机制,可以为科学管理长江流域水资源提供重要理论参考和技术支撑。本研究基于遥感驱动的生态过程机理模型BEPS,模拟分析了2001—2020年长江流域年ET及其组分的时空变化特征;在此基础上,采用多因子联立求解法剥离了气候、植被叶面积指数(LAI,Leaf Area Index)和植被类型转变等对ET及其组分趋势的贡献,开展了归因分析。结果表明:1)流域平均ET、T和Ei分别以1.95 mm/a、1.12 mm/a和0.96 mm/a的速率显著增加;空间上,超过35%的地区显示三者显著增加;而流域平均及一半以上地区的E呈减小趋势。2)对比各组分趋势,流域平均和64%的地区显示ET趋势由T的变化决定,而其余地区则由E和Ei的变化控制。3)就流域平均而言,ET、T和Ei的增加及E的减小均可归因于LAI的增大。4)ET、E、T和Ei趋势的主控因子存在明显空间差异,但主控因子LAI的面积占比始终最大,分别为49%、46%、48%和73%。

    Abstract:

    Despite being an important water resource supply area for central and northern parts of China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) faces increasing inhomogeneity in water resource allocation and instability in water supply capacity. Recognizing that evapotranspiration (ET) is an essential component that directly affects the basin"s water supply capacity, gaining a quantitative understanding of the physical mechanisms behind ET and its components—soil evaporation (E), transpiration (T), and vegetation interception evaporation (Ei)—offers theoretical and technological insights for the scientific management of water resources in the YRB. Thus, this study conducted a comprehensive investigation of the spatio-temporal variations in ET and its components from 2001 to 2020, utilizing simulations from the BEPS ecological-remote sensing coupled model. Subsequently, a combined approach involving multiple sensitivity numerical experiments was applied to discern the contributions of climate, vegetation leaf area index (LAI), and changes in vegetation types to the variations in ET and its components. Finally, attribution analyses were performed, and the findings indicated that: 1) Except for the annual E with a slight decrease, the annual ET, T, and Ei across the YRB significantly increased by 1.95 mm/a, 1.12 mm/a, and 0.96 mm/a, respectively. Spatially, the significant increases of these three variables were detected across more than 35% of areas. By contrast, the annual E decreased for the whole basin and more than one-half of the YRB. 2) Comparisons between the trends for E, T, and Ei suggested that the T changes for this study region and its 64% areas largely contributed to the ET changes, while the E and Ei changes controlled the ET changes in other areas, corresponding to area percentages of 10% and 24%, respectively. 3) On the regional mean level, the increases in precipitation, air temperature, and LAI positively contributed to the changes in ET and its components (excluding Ei), while the declined relative humidity and incoming solar radiation had negative contributions. As for impacts of the changes in vegetation types, ET and T (E and Ei) responded to increase (decrease). Comparisons between the contributions of these influential variables indicated the increases in ET, T, and Ei and the reductions of E could be attributed to increased LAI. 4) Despite spatial differences in the dominant factors affecting the changes in ET and its components, LAI consistently emerged as the dominant factor across the largest areas, with area percentages of 49%, 46%, 48%, and 73% for the changes in ET, E, T, and Ei, respectively. Over most of the remaining regions, the dominant factors were precipitation and changes in vegetation types for the changes in ET, precipitation, relative humidity, and changes in vegetation types for the changes in E, air temperature and changes in vegetation types for the changes in T, but precipitation for the changes in Ei. Moreover, the area percentages of these dominant factors were all higher than 10%.

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俎千雪,马傲格,孙善磊,柳艺博.基于BEPS模型的长江流域蒸散发及其组分变化的机理研究.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202410232585

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