协同策略差异化下长江流域水污染治理激励机制
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国家社会科学基金一般项目(24BTJ032);湖南省研究生科研创新项目(CX20240947)


Research on incentive mechanisms for water pollution control in the Yangtze River basin under differentiated collaborative strategies
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    摘要:

    目前针对长江流域水污染治理的研究多围绕单一政策展开, 往往忽略了策略协同效应。鉴于此, 在考虑河长制和生态补偿政策协同的基础上, 研究长江流域水污染协同治理激励机制。建立上级政府、长江上游地方政府与长江下游地方政府间的三方演化博弈模型, 探讨在协同策略差异化背景下, 三方协同推进流域治理的内生机制, 通过稳定性分析得出达到流域水污染治理理想状态的稳定条件, 并以沱湖-长江流域真实数据进行模拟仿真, 由此设计潜在激励机制。研究发现:(1)上级政府对下级政府的惩罚力度并不能抵扣自身监管成本, 最终倾向于实施弱监管策略;影响上游地方政府治理策略选择的因素主要包含生态补偿额和奖励机制, 影响下游地方政府治理策略选择的因素主要包含流域外部性和奖励机制;长江上下游地方政府面临高生态补偿额和高奖励情景时, 博弈系统最终演化为“弱监管/自主治理/自主治理”状态。(2)加快完善流域生态补偿制度, 规范流域生态补偿标准, 加大对长江上游地方政府的补偿额度, 能够推动长江上游地方政府积极开展流域水污染治理工作, 而加大对长江下游地方政府的补偿额度并未对下游地方政府水污染治理工作展现出明显的促进效果。(3)上级政府对长江下游地方政府的奖励措施能够加快流域水污染治理工作进程, 奖励力度越大, 水污染治理进展越快, 但对长江上游地方政府的奖励措施并不能推进上游地方政府治理工作的进行;上级政府对下级政府的惩罚措施在实际工作中的作用较小, 严厉的惩罚措施甚至会抑制下级地方政府治理积极性。

    Abstract:

    Current research on Yangtze River basin water pollution control predominantly examines isolated policies while overlooking policy synergy. In light of this, this paper studies the collaborative governance incentive mechanism for water pollution in the Yangtze River basin, by analyzing the policy interaction between the River Chief System and ecological compensation mechanisms, with the aim of contributing to the advancement of water pollution governance efforts in the region. A tripartite evolutionary game framework was constructed involving the central government, upper-reach municipalities, and lower-reach jurisdictions, this study explores the endogenous mechanisms for promoting basin governance under the background of differentiated collaborative strategies and analyzes stability, determining the stability conditions of the game-theoretic agents in the optimal scenarios of water pollution control in the basin. On this basis, using real data from the Tuohu Yangtze River basin for simulation, analyze the decision-making differences of upper reaches and lower reaches under different ecological compensation amounts, reward and punishment levels, and design potential incentive mechanisms. The findings are as follows: (1) The penalties imposed by central governments on lower-level governments fail to compensate for the regulators' own enforcement expenditures, thereby inducing the adoption of lenient regulatory enforcement. Factors influencing the governance strategy choices of the upper reaches mainly include ecological compensation amounts and reward mechanisms, while those for the lower reaches primarily include externalities and reward mechanisms. When upper-reach municipalities and lower-reach jurisdictions confront high ecological compensation and high-reward scenarios, they engage in multi-stage games and eventually evolve to adopt proactive strategies to control regional water pollution. With the joint efforts of local governments, water pollution in the Yangtze River basin will be significantly improved. (2) Setting different ecological compensation amounts and observing the evolution path and results of local governments, the results show that enhancing the basin-wide ecological compensation framework, standardizing compensation standards and elevating compensation rates for upper-reach municipalities of the Yangtze can effectively promote water pollution control efforts in the basin. However, raising compensation amounts for local governments in the lower reaches does not affect their strategy choices. (3) Setting different reward and punishment mechanisms for lower-level governments and observing the evolution path and outcome changes of lower-level governments, the results show that the reward measures from the central government to local governments can accelerate the progress of water pollution governance in the basin. The magnitude of fiscal and political incentives is positively correlated with the optimization of governance speed. While, equivalent rewards prove ineffective in incentivizing upper-reach municipalities of the Yangtze. Furthermore, the punitive measures imposed by central governments on upper reaches and lower reaches governments have a relatively small effect in practical work, and strict punitive measures hinder the governance enthusiasm of lower-level governments, especially in terms of strategic choices for lower reaches. Generally, promoting water pollution control in different areas of the basin requires different policy incentives.

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刘亦文,高京淋,曾琪海,颜建军,颜子腾.协同策略差异化下长江流域水污染治理激励机制.生态学报,2025,45(12):5798~5810

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