中国能源消费PM2.5足迹评估——多区域投入产出法
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1.山东师范大学地理与环境学院;2.交通运输部公路科学研究所;3.交通运输部公路交通环境保护技术交通运输行业重点实验室;4.西北农林科技大学旱区农业水土工程教育部重点实验室;5.西北农林科技大学旱区节水农业研究院;6.西北农林科技大学水利与建筑工程学院

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国家自然科学基金项目(42171094);山东省高校 “青创团队计划”(2024KJG002);山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2021MD095,ZR2021QD093)


PM2.5 footprint assessment of energy consumption in China - A multi-regional input-output approach
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Affiliation:

1.College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University;2.Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport of the People&3.#39;4.s Public of China;5.Key Laboratory of Environmental Protection Technology on Road Traffic, Ministry of Transport of the People&

Fund Project:

the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42171094);the “Youth Innovation Team Program” of Universities in Shandong Province (2024KJG002); the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (ZR2021MD095; ZR2021QD093)

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    摘要:

    随着中国工业化进程的加速,PM2.5污染问题日益严峻,尤其是能源消费密集型产业的扩展显著加剧了PM2.5的排放。尽管已有大量研究关注PM2.5的来源和治理,但如何量化各省份的PM2.5足迹,并系统分析其跨区域转移的路径,仍然是一个值得进一步探讨的课题。本研究采用多区域投入产出模型,量化了2007-2017年中国大陆生产PM2.5足迹(PFP),消费PM2.5足迹(PFC)以及省际间隐含PM2.5足迹(EPF)的转移量。结果显示,PFP和PFC均呈现先升后降的变化趋势,且PFP始终大于PFC。各省份对PF的贡献差异显著,多数省份EPF出口量超过本省PFP总量的一半,三分之一省份需通过进口EPF的方式来满足发展需求。同时,中国向海外EPF的转移重心正在由沿海向内陆迁移。从部门贡献来看,在研究期间,制造业,电力、热力、燃气和水的生产与供应业始终是PFP的主要来源。由此可见,根据不同省份的特点对大气污染治理政策进行不断优化是至关重要的。

    Abstract:

    As China's industrialization accelerates, the PM2.5 pollution problem is becoming increasingly severe, particularly due to the significant increase in PM2.5 emissions from the expansion of energy-intensive industries. While many studies have focused on the sources and management of PM2.5, quantifying the PM2.5 footprints of provinces and systematically analyzing the pathways of its transfer across regions remains an area worthy of further exploration. In this study, a multi-regional input-output model was employed to quantify the consumption PM2.5 footprint (PFP), production PM2.5 footprint (PFC), and inter-provincial transfer of embodied PM2.5 footprint (EPF) in mainland China from 2007 to 2017. The results show that both PFP and PFC exhibit an increasing and then decreasing trend, with PFP consistently being larger than PFC. The contribution of provinces to PF varies significantly, with most provinces exporting more than half of their local PFP as EPF, and one-third of the provinces needing to import EPF to meet their development demands. Meanwhile, the center of gravity of China's EPF transfer abroad is shifting from the coast to the interior. In terms of sectoral contribution, manufacturing, the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas and water have always been the main sources of PFP during the study period. This shows that it is crucial to continuously optimize air pollution control policies according to the characteristics of different provinces.

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刘莹莹,王赵明,沈瑞华,姚 磊,王旭,杨毅,李博雨.中国能源消费PM2.5足迹评估——多区域投入产出法.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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