呼伦贝尔草原长时序生物量反演及时空变化特征分析
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辽宁工程技术大学测绘与地理科学学院

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辽宁省自然科学基金计划(2024-BS-254);辽宁省教育厅基本科研项目(LJKZZ20220048)


Inversion of long time series biomass in Hulunbuir Grassland and analysis of spatiotemporal variation characteristics
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School of Geomatics, Liaoning Technical University

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The Natural Science Foundation Plan of Liaoning Province (2024-BS-254); Key Research Project of the Basic Research Program of the Education Department of Liaoning Province, LJKZZ20220048.

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    摘要:

    草地地上生物量(Aboveground Biomass, AGB)是衡量草地生态系统功能和质量的核心指标。然而,在呼伦贝尔草原长时序、大尺度的AGB反演中,由于部分年份样本点稀少甚至缺失,年际反演模型的精度难以保证,影响了对草原生态系统动态变化的准确评估。为解决这一关键问题,本文提出了一种基于精度分配权重的年际优化反演模型,旨在提高AGB反演精度,并通过模型结果分析呼伦贝尔草原AGB的时空变化特征。首先,以2003年、2004年、2009年和2010年的Landsat-5的Level-2数据为数据源,计算得到植被指数;以遥感影像时间为基准提取气象数据,结合野外样地实测草地AGB数据进行相关性分析,提取相关性最高的植被指数、气温和降水数据,利用偏最小二乘(Partial Least Squares Regression, PLSR)算法构建得出三年的草地AGB反演模型;然后对三年草地AGB反演模型采用简单平均法、加权平均线性法和精度分配权重法进行评估,结果表明精度分配权重模型为最优模型;再利用实测AGB对最优模型进行对比分析评估模型精度;最后,利用得到的最优模型对呼伦贝尔草地AGB进行长时序生物量反演并分析草地AGB时空变化特征。结果表明:(1)植被指数NDPI、气温和降水数据与草地AGB之间的相关性较高,分别为0.67、0.26和0.29;(2)三种模型中,精度分配权重回归模型拟合效果最好(R2为0.67),对比分析的精度也优于其余两种模型;(3)草地AGB空间分布呈现由西向东逐渐增多的趋势,且该趋势在大多数年份中保持一致,尤其在1996年、2013年和2018年表现最为明显。然而,在1997年和2007年,该趋势的变化幅度较小或出现一定的波动,表现出不同的空间分布特征;时间分布上,除了1997年和2007年草地AGB的量较低(整体在30kg/30m2以下),2019年草地AGB的量较高(整体在65kg/30m2左右),其他年份的草地AGB总体较为稳定,波动范围在(45±10)kg/30m2左右,未出现明显的波动。综上,以精度分配权重模型能够解决在反演草地AGB过程中存在部分年份样本点稀少甚至缺失的问题,研究结果为准确估算呼伦贝尔草原长时序、大尺度草地AGB、碳储量等研究提供重要参考。

    Abstract:

    Aboveground Biomass (AGB) is a core indicator for assessing the functionality and quality of grassland ecosystems. However, in long-term, large-scale AGB inversion studies of the Hulunbuir Grassland, the precision of interannual inversion models is often compromised due to sparse or missing sample points in certain years, which hinders the accurate evaluation of dynamic changes in the grassland ecosystem. To address this critical issue, this paper proposes an interannual optimization inversion model based on precision-weighted allocation, aiming to improve AGB inversion accuracy and analyze the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of AGB in Hulunbuir Grassland through model results. Firstly, the vegetation index was calculated using Landsat-5 Level-2 data from 2003, 2004, 2009, and 2010 as the data source. Meteorological data were extracted based on remote sensing image timestamps, and a correlation analysis was conducted with field-measured grassland AGB data. The vegetation indices, temperature, and precipitation data with the highest correlation were selected. The Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) algorithm was used to build AGB inversion models for three years. Next, the three-year AGB inversion models were evaluated using simple averaging, weighted averaging linear, and precision-weighted allocation methods. The results indicated that the precision-weighted allocation model was the optimal model. A comparison with field-measured AGB data was conducted to evaluate the model’s accuracy. Finally, the optimal model was used for the long-term AGB inversion of Hulunbuir Grassland, and the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of grassland AGB were analyzed. The results showed that: (1) The vegetation index NDPI, temperature, and precipitation data exhibited high correlations with grassland AGB, with correlation coefficients of 0.67, 0.26, and 0.29, respectively. (2) Among the three models, the precision-weighted allocation regression model provided the best fit (R2 = 0.67), and its accuracy was superior to the other two models in the comparison analysis. (3) The spatial distribution of grassland AGB showed an increasing trend from west to east, which remained consistent in most years, particularly in 1996, 2013, and 2018. However, in 1997 and 2007, the trend showed minimal variation or fluctuations, exhibiting different spatial distribution characteristics. Temporally, except for 1997 and 2007, when the AGB was relatively low (generally below 30 kg/30 m2), and 2019, when the AGB was relatively high (around 65 kg/30 m2), the AGB in other years remained relatively stable, with fluctuations within a range of approximately (45±10) kg/30 m2, without significant deviations. In conclusion, the precision-weighted allocation model successfully addresses the issue of sparse or missing sample points in some years during the inversion of grassland AGB. The findings provide important reference data for accurately estimating long-term, large-scale grassland AGB, carbon storage, and related studies in the Hulunbuir Grassland.

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何永基,赵泉华,贾淑涵,李玉.呼伦贝尔草原长时序生物量反演及时空变化特征分析.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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