基于最大光能利用率动态校正的京津冀地区植被碳汇反演研究
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1.辽宁师范大学地理科学学院、辽宁师范大学管理学院;2.天津师范大学京津冀生态文明发展研究院;3.东北林业大学寒区科学与工程研究院,土木与交通学院

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国家自然科学基金项目(52379021, 42301501)。


Research on vegetation carbon sink inversion in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region based on dynamic correction of maximum light use efficiency
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1.School of Geographical Sciences,Liaoning Normal University School of Management, Liaoning Normal University;2.Academy of Eco-civilization Development for Jing-Jin-Ji Megalopolis,Tianjin Normal University

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    摘要:

    陆地生态系统在全球碳循环中扮演重要角色,植被碳汇能力是衡量生态系统质量与气候变化响应的重要指标。近年来,京津冀地区作为我国首都经济圈,其植被碳汇对区域绿色发展和“双碳”目标具有重要意义。然而,已有研究在碳汇反演中面临光能利用率等经验参数鲁棒性差等问题,导致碳汇估算结果存在较大不确定性。针对于此,本稿件基于2003—2022年长时序多源主被动卫星遥感传感器估计京津冀碳汇时空变化。首先,结合GEDI高分辨率激光雷达改进了植被最大光能利用率的动态校正方法,优化了CASA模型对NPP的模拟能力;其次,基于土壤异养呼吸模型,估算了近20年京津冀地区的NEP;最后,运用SHAP模型量化了气温、降水和太阳辐射等环境因子对植被碳汇的驱动作用及其非线性交互关系。结果表明:(1)基于GEDI实现了对最大光能利用率长时间序列的动态校正,森林的光能利用率模拟值最大为0.667—0.712 gC·MJ-1,这一改进方法能够可靠地对京津冀地区NPP进行模拟。(2)NEP多年均值为179.17 gC·m-2·a-1,季节变化为夏季>春季>秋季>冬季,空间上呈现从冀北山区向东南部平原和城市区域递减的分布特征,且森林对京津冀NEP的贡献率达47.60%。(3)各驱动因子对NEP的重要性和主效应程度为气温>降水>太阳辐射,且气温和降水对NEP的正交互作用最强。研究结论可促进对京津冀地区植被碳汇动态变化机制的理解,同时为制定生态管理和气候变化适应策略提供科学依据。

    Abstract:

    Terrestrial ecosystems play a vital role in the global carbon cycle, where vegetation carbon sequestration serves as a critical metric for assessing ecosystem health and climate regulation capacity. As China's national strategic economic hub, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region holds pivotal significance in advancing regional low-carbon development and realizing the "Dual Carbon" objectives. Current carbon sink inversion methodologies encounter limitations, including weak robustness in empirical parameters (e.g., light use efficiency), resulting in substantial uncertainties in carbon sink quantification. This study uses long-term multi-source active and passive satellite remote sensing data from 2003 to 2022 to estimate the spatiotemporal changes of carbon sinks and their driving mechanisms in the region. The key steps include: Firstly, we enhanced the dynamic correction method for maximum light use efficiency through integration with GEDI LiDAR data, thereby optimizing the CASA model's net primary productivity (NPP) simulation capability; Secondly, based on the soil heterotrophic respiration model, the NEP of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in the past 20 years was estimated; Finally, the Shapley Additive exPlans model was used to quantify the driving effects and nonlinear interactions of environmental factors such as temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation on vegetation carbon sinks. The results show that: (1) Based on GEDI, dynamic correction of long-term series of maximum light use efficiency has been achieved. The simulated maximum light use efficiency of vegetation has passed the accuracy validation, with the forest light use efficiency attaining peak values of 0.667–0.712 gC·MJ?1. This improved method can reliably simulate the NPP, with results indicating that the average annual NPP first decreases and then increases in the region. (2) The average annual Rh is 233.45 gC·m?2·a?1 in the region, with a spatial distribution that follows the latitudinal zonation pattern, and approximately 82% of the region shows an increasing trend in Rh. Furthermore, the average annual NEP is 179.17gC·m-2·a-1, with a seasonal variation of summer>spring>autumn>winter. Spatial gradients exhibit a decline from northern Hebei's mountainous zones to southeastern plains and urban clusters, and the contribution rate of forests to NEP is 47.60%. (3) The importance and main effect degree of each driving factor on NEP is in the order of temperature>precipitation>solar radiation. The positive interaction between temperature and precipitation is the strongest, with an interaction value of 1.587, while temperature and solar radiation have a negative interaction effect on NEP in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. This study enhances the understanding of vegetation carbon sink dynamics in the region and provides a scientific basis for ecological management and climate change adaptation strategies.

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姜雪梅,曹永强,么嘉棋,刘子华,周姝含.基于最大光能利用率动态校正的京津冀地区植被碳汇反演研究.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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