基于MOP-PLUS模型的湿地公园生态韧性多情景研究——以新济洲国家湿地公园为例
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1.南京林业大学;2.新加坡国立大学;3.苏州科技大学

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(32171856);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(23YJAZH231);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX25_1461)


Multi-scenario study on ecological resilience of wetland park based on MOP-PLUS model: A case study of Xinjizhou National Wetland Park
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Affiliation:

1.Nanjing Forestry University;2.National University of Singapore;3.Suzhou University of Science and Technology

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation Project (32171856) ;Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Research Project (23YJAZH231); Jiangsu Province Graduate Research and Practice Innovation Program Project (KYCX25_1461)

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    摘要:

    湿地公园兼顾了湿地保护与公众游憩的双重功能,是一种湿地保护的成功模式。近年来,我国开展了大量的湿地公园建设,但湿地生态系统脆弱敏感极易受到干扰,不科学的规划建设会导致湿地生态系统的整体衰退,因此对于湿地公园的规划建设需要更加的慎重。加强湿地公园生态韧性以提高湿地生态系统抗干扰和恢复的能力,有利于湿地公园的健康可持续发展,从而实现生态保护与社会服务双重目标。基于此,以新济洲国家湿地公园为例,耦合MOP(多目标规划)与PLUS模型进行湿地公园生态韧性的情景研究。结果表明:(1)相比于历史趋势情景,湿地公园生态韧性情景下的生境质量情景与Shannon多样性情景均有大幅度的生态韧性提升;(2)综合优化情景可以兼顾生境质量与Shannon多样性,是生态韧性提升的最优参考;(3)MOP模型可以对PLUS模型不同情景条件进行定量约束得出更为客观的湿地公园情景模拟结果,可以实现规划建设结果的预测。研究结果与方法为湿地公园的规划建设与优化提供了科学依据,以期为湿地公园的可持续发展提供借鉴。

    Abstract:

    Wetland parks balance the dual functions of wetland conservation and public recreation, representing as a successful model for wetland protection. In recent years, China has undertaken extensive development in wetland park construction. However, wetland ecosystems are fragile and highly sensitive, making them susceptible to disturbances. Neglecting planning and construction can lead to the overall degradation of wetland ecosystems; therefore, the planning and construction of wetland parks requires greater attentions. Enhancing the ecological resilience of wetland parks to improve the wetland ecosystem's resistance to disturbances and its recovery capacity is beneficial for the healthy and sustainable development of wetland parks, thereby achieving the dual goals of ecological protection and social services. Based on this, this paper takes the Xinjizhou National Wetland Park as an example and conducts scenario studies on the ecological resilience of wetland parks by coupling MOP (Multi-Objective Optimization Problem) with the PLUS model. The results show that: (1) Compared with the historical trend scenario, the ecological resilience is significantly improved in both habitat quality and Shannon diversity scenarios; (2) The comprehensive optimization scenario can balance habitat quality and Shannon diversity, serving as the optimal pathway for enhancing ecological resilience; (3) The MOP model effectively constrains the PLUS model to simulate more objective wetland park scenario, enabling the predictive evaluation of planning outcomes. The findings and methods provide a scientific basis for the planning, construction, and optimization of wetland parks, aiming to provide an actionable approach for the sustainable development of wetland parks.

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丁治凡,梁昊玥,王博锐,秦嘉瑜,朱颖,汪辉.基于MOP-PLUS模型的湿地公园生态韧性多情景研究——以新济洲国家湿地公园为例.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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