中国县域国土空间功能演化博弈过程及其影响因素
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1.新疆大学地理与遥感科学学院;2.新疆绿洲生态重点实验室

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国家自然科学基金项目(42461036);第三次新疆综合科学考察(2021xjkk0902)


The evolutionary game process and influencing factors of territorial spatial functions at country level in China
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1.School of Geography and Remote Sensing Sciences, Xinjiang University;2.Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang University.

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    摘要:

    国土空间功能的类型多样性、空间分布不均衡性以及受人类需求影响的特性导致国土空间功能处于复杂的博弈状态,探究国土空间功能演化博弈过程及其影响因素对实现国土空间高质量发展至关重要。本文以中国2844个县域单元为例,基于多源地理空间数据定量评估1980—2020年国土空间功能演化博弈过程,并运用基于最优参数的地理探测器模型识别国土空间功能演化博弈过程的影响因素。结果表明:(1)研究期间中国县域国土空间功能主导博弈类型表现为正和博弈,博弈强度呈倒U型变化,2000—2010年是博弈类型和博弈强度的转折时期。(2)国土空间功能演化博弈过程以低强度正和博弈为主,但演化博弈过程在胡焕庸线两侧表现出显著差异。(3)影响胡焕庸线两侧国土空间功能演化博弈过程的主导因素较为一致,但作用效果存在差异,社会发展要素影响作用最为显著。

    Abstract:

    A complex game situation among territorial spatial functions has emerged due to the various forms and unequal spatial distribution of these functions, as well as the characteristics influenced by human demands. To achieve the high-quality development of territorial space, it is important to understand the evolutionary game process and influencing factors of territorial spatial functions. A national assessment is necessary to address these issues, but there is a lack of such research due to the high data requirements. Given this, this research takes 2844 county units in China as an example and quantitatively evaluates the evolutionary game process of territorial spatial functions from 1980 to 2020 based on multi-source geospatial data. Then, an optimal parameters-based geographical detector (OPGD) model was applied to identify the influencing factors of the evolutionary game process of territorial spatial functions. The main findings include the following: (1) During the study period, the dominant game type of territorial spatial functions at country level in China was a positive-sum game, and the game intensity showed an inverted “U” change, with 2000–2010 being a turning period for the game type and the game intensity. (2) The evolutionary game process of territorial spatial functions was dominated by low-intensity positive-sum games. However, there were notable disparities between the two sides of the Hu Line in the evolutionary game process of territorial spatial functions. Specifically, the region east of the Hu Line had a high level of urbanization, a high game intensity, and strong conflict over territorial spatial functions, manifested as a zero-sum game at the expense of agricultural space. The region west of the Hu Line had the widest distribution of game type and conflict type between territorial spatial functions, but the game intensity was low. And the region along the Hu Line was the most variable region of game type and game intensity, and the region with the highest degree of synergistic development of territorial spatial functions. (3) The evolutionary game process of territorial spatial functions at the country level in China was influenced by the integrated effects of natural environment, economic dynamics, and social development factors. On both sides of the Hu Line, the primary factors influencing the evolutionary game process of territorial spatial functions were largely the same. Nevertheless, their role varied, with social development factors having the biggest impact. These findings can provide effective information for achieving high-quality development of territorial space and regional sustainable development.

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黄鑫,王宏卫,王灿,吴晋华,伊素燕.中国县域国土空间功能演化博弈过程及其影响因素.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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