空气污染对城市经济韧性的影响效应与机制
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作者单位:

1.三峡大学经济与管理学院;2.吉林大学商学与管理学院

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基金项目:

国家社会科学基金一般项目(No.21BMZ138)


The impact and mechanism of air pollution on urban economic resilience
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1.School of Economics and Management,Three Gorges University;2.School of Business and Management,Jilin University

Fund Project:

Project of The National Social Science Fund of China (No.21BMZ138)

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    摘要:

    空气污染加剧将严重制约城市经济可持续发展。研究基于2006—2022年中国278个地级市的面板数据测算城市经济韧性,综合运用面板固定效应、分位数回归、中介效应、调节效应和门槛回归模型,实证分析空气污染对城市经济韧性的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:①空气污染对城市经济韧性的提升存在显著的抑制作用,且该作用随着城市经济韧性分位点的上升呈递增趋势。②空气污染通过破坏城市水土涵养能力对城市经济韧性产生负面影响。③绿色金融正向调节空气污染对城市经济韧性的抑制作用,且当其发展水平超过一定阈值时,调节效应边际递减。④相较于城市经济韧性的抵抗与恢复力维度,空气污染对城市调整与适应力以及转型与更新力维度的负向影响更为明显;相较于外围城市与非资源型城市,空气污染对中心城市和资源型城市的经济韧性负向影响更为显著;相较于中心城市和资源型城市,绿色金融在空气污染对外围城市和非资源型城市经济韧性的影响中发挥更为显著的正向调节效应。据此,建议进一步优化和完善环境保护法规与政策体系,制定并实施差异化绿色金融政策,平衡绿色转型节奏,进而推动空气质量改善和城市经济韧性持续提升。

    Abstract:

    The exacerbation of air pollution will critically constrain the sustainable development of urban economy. Based on the panel data of 278 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2022, this paper measures urban economic resilience, and comprehensively uses panel fixed effect, quantile regression, mediating effect, moderating effect and threshold regression model to empirically analyze the impact of air pollution on urban economic resilience and its mechanism. The results show that: (1) Air pollution significantly inhibits the enhancement of urban economic resilience, and the inhibitory effect intensifies as the percentile of urban economic resilience increases. (2) By destroying urban water and soil conservation capacity, air pollution has a negative effect on urban economic resilience. (3) Green finance positively regulates the inhibitory effect of air pollution on urban economic resilience, and when its development level exceeds a certain threshold, the marginal effect of regulation decreases. (4) In comparison to the dimensions of resistance and recovery in urban economic resilience, the negative impact of air pollution on the dimensions of urban adjustment and adaptability, as well as transformation and renewal, is more pronounced. Furthermore, compared with peripheral and non-resource-based cities, air pollution more significantly impacts the economic resilience of central and resource-based cities. Relative to central cities and resource-based cities, green finance plays a more significant role in positively regulating the effects of air pollution on the economic resilience of peripheral and non-resource-based cities. Consequently, it is recommended to further optimize and improve the system of environmental protection regulations and policies, formulate and implement differentiated green finance policies, balance the pace of green transformation, and thereby promote the improvement of air quality and the continuous enhancement of urban economic resilience.

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覃朝晖,李 伦,王镕菲,丁志国.空气污染对城市经济韧性的影响效应与机制.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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