2001—2022年饶河流域森林NPP总量的空间分异与影响因素分析
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1.江西农业大学林学院;2.江西农业大学国土院

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基金项目:

国家自然科学(31660140和31560150);江西省土地开发整理中心项目(9131207547)


Spatial distribution and influencing factors of multi-year NPP accumulation and Anomalous Points in Raohe River Basin from 2001 to 2022
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Affiliation:

Forestry College, Jiangxi Agricultural University

Fund Project:

National Natural Sciences (31660140 and 31560150); Jiangxi Land Development and Consolidation Center Project (9131207547)

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    摘要:

    计算森林净初级生产力(NPP)的多年总量,分析其分布与异常的成因,对于评估和优化森林长期碳汇功能具有重要意义。本文以饶河流域为研究对象,基于NPP数据与土地覆被数据,提取叠加获取2001—2022年森林NPP总量分布图,使用OLS模型、地理探测器、空间自相关和交叉表等方法对森林NPP总量的分布与异常进行分析。结果表明:(1)2001—2022年饶河流域森林的减少主要由于耕地和建设用地的占用,森林增加主要来源于退耕还林,流域森林面积总体呈下降趋势;(2)研究期间饶河流域森林的碳吸收量为122.20TgC,森林NPP总量平均值为12.31kgC m-2 (22a)-1,范围为0—25.49kgC m-2 (22a)-1,其中,80%的森林在9.26—16.23kgC m-2 (22a)-1之间,有过土地利用变更的森林在生长期间固碳能力略有下降。(3)饶河流域森林NPP总量分布总体呈东北高、西南低的态势,其空间分布与9种因子的分布均存在显著相关性(P<0.01),各影响因子中植被覆盖度、气温、高程、坡度、夜间灯光和土壤类型的影响较强,并且分布趋势与植被覆盖度、高程、坡度、降水相同,与气温和夜间灯光的趋势相反。(4)在500m×500m空间尺度下,异常点的分布受到交通与水系分布的极显著影响(P<0.001),道路对异常高值分布的影响远高于河流,而对异常低值的影响略低于河流。研究探析了饶河流域森林22年碳吸收量的空间差异与成因,以期为林业长期固碳功能评价、风险点识别与可持续发展提供理论依据和技术支持。

    Abstract:

    It is important to calculate the multi-year total of forest net primary productivity (NPP) and analyze its distribution and anomalies for evaluating and optimizing the long-term carbon sequestration function of forests. This study takes the Raohe River Basin as the research area, utilizing NPP data and land cover data to extract and overlay forest NPP information, thereby generating a spatial distribution map of total forest NPP from 2001 to 2022.Analytical methods such as the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) model, geographic detectors, spatial statistics, and cross-tabulation were applied to investigate the spatial distribution patterns and anomalies of total forest NPP. The results showed that: (1) The decrease of forest in Raohe River Basin from 2001 to 2022 was mainly due to the occupation of cropland and construction land, while the increase of forest was mainly resulted from returning farmland to forests. Overall, the forest area in the basin showed a declining trend. (2) During the study period, the sequestration capacity of forests in Raohe River Basin was 122.20TgC, with an average total forest NPP of 12.31kgC m-2 (22a)-1, ranging from 0 to 25.49kgC m-2 (22a)-1. Among these, 80% of the forests had NPP values between 9.26 and 16.23kgC m-2 (22a)-1. Forests with land-use changes had a slight decrease in carbon sequestration capacity during the growth period. (3) The overall spatial distribution of total forest NPP in the Raohe River Basin exhibited a general pattern of higher values in the northeast and lower values in the southwest. The spatial distribution was significantly correlated (P<0.01) with the distribution of all nine factors. Among these, the influence of vegetation coverage, temperature, elevation, slope, nighttime light intensity, and soil type were stronger. and the distribution trend was consistent with vegetation coverage, elevation, slope, and precipitation, but opposite to the trends of temperature and nighttime light. (4) At the spatial scale of 500m×500m, the distribution of anomaly points was significantly affected by transportation and water system distribution (P<0.001). The influence of roads on the distribution of high-value anomalies was much higher than that of water systems, while the influence of roads on low outliers was slightly lower than that of water systems. This study investigates the spatial variation and underlying causes of forest carbon sequestration in the Raohe River Basin over a 22-year period, which can provide theoretical support and technical guidance for long-term carbon sequestration function evaluation, the identification of risk points, and sustainable development.

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陈卓灵,朱君瑶,何庆港,黄超,唐昱,赵雪妍,张学玲.2001—2022年饶河流域森林NPP总量的空间分异与影响因素分析.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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