全球城市树木降温效率阈值效应和气候响应
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国家自然科学基金面上项目(42171093);上海市自然科学基金面上项目(21ZR1408500);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(42201200)


Threshold effects and climate responses of cooling efficiency of urban trees
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    城市树木对缓解城市热岛效应具有重要作用,但是单位树木覆盖率(Fraction tree cover, FTC)增加对地表温度的减弱程度,即降温效率(Cooling Efficiency, CE)对树木覆盖率的响应特征尚不清楚。此外,气温(Air temperature, AT)、土壤湿度(Soil moisture, SM)和饱和水汽压差(Vapor pressure deficit, VPD)的相互作用阻碍对其如何影响CE的理解。选取全球229座城市,构建2100 m×2100 m单元格,利用分段回归确定不同气候带CE随FTC变化的拐点(阈值效应),结合偏最小二乘路径分析探究上述气象变量对CE的直接和间接影响。结果表明:(1)在干旱带白天和半干旱带夜间,CE随FTC的增加不存在显著拐点,在半干旱带白天和干旱带夜间,FTC阈值为19%,半湿润带昼夜FTC阈值分别为45%和30%,湿润带为55%和23%。(2)ATSM普遍促进CE,VPD在白天直接抑制CE,夜间则促进CE。在(半)干旱带,ATSM主要通过控制VPD间接影响CE,而在(半)湿润带,AT和SM主要直接影响CE。(3)在半干旱带,白天AT和VPD在FTC阈值前后对CE的影响方向相反,主导因素由AT变成VPD;夜间湿润带ATCE的路径系数在FTC阈值处由负转正,其余气候带的主导因素保持不变。本研究得到的FTC阈值能指导不同气候带城市绿化规划,通过分析气候条件在FTC阈值前后对CE的差异性影响,为构建气候韧性城市提供依据。

    Abstract:

    Urban trees play a crucial role in mitigating the urban heat island (UHI) effects. However, the cooling efficiency (CE), defined as the reduction in land surface temperature (LST) per unit increase in fraction tree cover (FTC), and its response to changes in FTC remain poorly understood across climate zones, presenting challenges for optimizing urban tree planting strategies to maximize cooling benefits. Additionally, the interactions among key meteorological factors, such as air temperature (AT), soil moisture (SM) and vapor pressure deficit (VPD), complicate a comprehensive understanding of how these factors influence CE. In this study, we analyzed CE of 229 cities across the globe by 2100 m×2100 m grid cells. Using piecewise regression, we determined the FTC threshold values associated with CE variations across different climate zones. We further applied Partial Least Squares Path Modeling (PLS-PM) to explore the direct and indirect effects of these meteorological variables on CE. The results indicate that: (1) In arid zones during the day and semi-arid zones at night, no significant FTC threshold is observed as FTC increases. However, in semi-arid zones during the day and arid zones at night, the FTC threshold is 19%. In sub-humid zones, the FTC thresholds are 45% during the day and 30% at night, while in humid zones, the thresholds are 55% during the day and 23% at night. These thresholds underscore the importance of considering local climatic conditions when planning urban tree coverage to achieve optimal cooling benefits. (2) AT and SM generally enhance CE, while VPD directly suppresses CE during the day but promotes it at night. In (semi-)arid zones, AT and SM primarily influence CE indirectly by controlling VPD, whereas in (semi-)humid zones, AT and SM have a direct impact on CE. (3) In semi-arid regions, the direct effect direction of AT and VPD on daytime CE reverse around the FTC threshold, with the dominant factor shifting from AT to VPD. At night in humid regions, the influence of AT on CE transitions from negative to positive around the FTC threshold, while in other climate zones, the dominant factors remain consistent across the threshold. The FTC thresholds identified in this study can guide urban greening planning in different climate zones. By revealing the different impacts of meteorological variables on CE before and after these thresholds, our results provide crucial insights for urban planners aiming to enhance cooling benefits in cities, informing the development of climate-resilient urban environments.

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李思恒,余兆武.全球城市树木降温效率阈值效应和气候响应.生态学报,2025,45(4):1878~1889

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