雅鲁藏布江生态系统水源涵养功能变化及其驱动因素
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国家杰出青年科学基金(52125901)


Changes in water retention function of the Yarlung Zangbo River ecosystem and identification of its leading influencing factors
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National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars (52125901)

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    摘要:

    雅鲁藏布江流域内植被茂盛、种类丰富,蕴含着丰富的天然水能资源,是变化背景下的生态环境脆弱敏感的典型代表区之一。水源涵养功能是生态系统服务中的一项重要功能,研究水源涵养功能的空间分布特征和演变规律及其主要影响因子对该地区的水资源保护、开发、利用和综合治理具有重要的意义。以往的研究多集中于河道里的水资源演变规律,较少关注流域内不同生态系统类型下的水源涵养量以及不同水分收支变量对涵养功能的贡献。因此,为了准确量化流域内不同生态系统的水源涵养能力并分析其可能的驱动机制,研究验证了VIC模型在雅江流域的适用性并基于该模型量化了流域内水分收支变量的变化情况,基于水量平衡原理对过去35年间生态系统的水源涵养能力变化进行定量评估分析,按照不同生态系统类型对比了流域内的涵养水量,将模拟所得水分变量纳入驱动因素,结合地理探测器识别多个驱动要素的贡献程度。研究结果表明:(1) VIC模型在雅鲁藏布江流域内适用性良好,得到流域内的水分收支变量在35年间有较为明显的变化。其中,降水量7.01 mm/10a的速率增长、植被蒸散发与地表径流深以6.15 mm/10a和 4.81 mm/10a的速率增长,而地下径流、植被截留和土壤水分没有较明显的变化趋势。(2)在1980-2015年间,流域的水源涵养能力呈现逐年降低的变化趋势,变化速率为-0.20 亿m3/a,其中上、中、下游分别涵养71.75、81.01、82.42亿m3的水量,全流域平均可以涵养约235.18亿m3的水量。(3)流域内覆被以林草为主,且林地和低等覆盖度的草地所表现的涵养水量最高,分别是60.91、63.58亿m3。(4)降水增长和蒸散发需求的增加是影响该地区水源涵养量的主要因素,共同导致了雅鲁藏布江水源涵养量总体减小。以上生态系统水源涵养能力变化指征着生态敏感脆弱区植被水分支撑功能的降低,在区域生态恢复中应当引起重视。

    Abstract:

    The Yarlung Zangbo River Basin,a typical area characterized by ecological fragility and sensitivity to environmental changes,boasts diverse vegetation and plentiful water energy resources. Water retention is an important function of ecosystem services. It is important to study the spatial-temporal distribution characteristics and influencing factors of water retention for the water protection,development,utilization and comprehensive management of water resources in the region. However,previous studies have mostly focused on the runoff response within the river basin,neglecting the water retention capacity of various ecosystem types within it and the contribution of different water budget variables to retention function. To accurately quantify the water retention capacity of different ecosystems,this study verified the applicability of the VIC model in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin and quantified changes in water budget variables. It quantitatively evaluated and analyzed the changes in the water retention capacity of the ecosystem over the past 35 years,compared the water retention capacity in the basin according to different ecosystem types,and included water variables in the driving factors combined with the geographic detector index to identify the contribution of factors. The results show that: (1) The study area's climate conditions exhibit trends of warming and increasing humidity. During the 35 years,precipitation increased at a rate of 7.01 mm/10a,and vegetation evapotranspiration and surface runoff depth increased at rates of 6.15 mm/10a and 4.81 mm/10a,respectively. However,there was no obvious trend in groundwater runoff,vegetation interception,and soil moisture. (2) From 1980 to 2015,the water retention capacity of the basin exhibited a yearly decreasing trend,changing at a rate of -0.02 billion m3/a. The upper,middle and lower reaches conserved 7.175 billion,8.101 billion and 8.242 billion m3 of water,respectively,and the entire basin could conserve an average of about 23.518 billion m3 of water. (3) The geographic detector results indicate that increases in precipitation and evapotranspiration are the primary factors influencing water retention fluctuations in the region,contributing to the overall decline in the Yarlung Zangbo River's water retention capacity. The above changes in the water retention capacity of the ecosystem indicate a decrease in the water support function of vegetation in ecologically sensitive and fragile areas,which should be taken seriously in regional ecological restoration.

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薛宝林,周璇,王国强,阿膺兰,王运涛,刘焱序.雅鲁藏布江生态系统水源涵养功能变化及其驱动因素.生态学报,2025,45(7):3157~3168

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