生态敏感区乡镇微观发展格局识别与适应性管控——以环白洋淀地区为例
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国家自然科学基金项目(52208055);2023年度河北省社会科学发展研究课题(20230303052);河北省自然科学基金项目(E2023202187);天津市哲学社会科学规划项目(TJGLQN23-011)


Micro-development pattern identification and adaptive management of towns in ecologically sensitive areas: a case study of the Baiyangdian region
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    摘要:

    生态敏感区乡镇是中国县域发展和乡村振兴的重要战略支点,同时面临着以"开发-保护"权衡为主的人地系统矛盾。针对既有宏观静态治理范式的局限,研究构建了生态敏感区乡镇微观发展格局识别框架并提出适应性管控策略,并以环白洋淀地区开展实证分析。主要结论如下:①环白洋淀乡镇承载的生态系统服务结构差异显著,其时空发展动态主要受区域交通因素影响;②超前建设单元占比最大,聚集在乡镇周边并向外围腹地蔓延,而潜在建设单元占比最小,镶嵌在乡镇及湿地周边;③雨洪调蓄服务、水源涵养服务和水质净化服务在未来30年面临较为严重的胁迫,其中雄州镇生态风险斑块面积最大,而三台镇和小里镇生态风险斑块扩张速度最快;④基于八类微观发展格局单元,对环白洋淀乡镇提出了适应性分区管控策略。研究可以为优化生态敏感区乡镇人地系统和相关规划决策提供参照。

    Abstract:

    Towns in ecologically sensitive areas (ESAs) serve as crucial strategic fulcrums for China's county-level development and rural revitalization, yet they also encounter conflicts within the human-environment system, primarily manifested as a trade-off between development and conservation. In the spatial dimension, towns in ESAs present remarkable spatial heterogeneity. The macro-control paradigm has become incompatible with the differentiated trends of the micro-development pattern and the demand for refined governance in towns. In the development dimension, towns demonstrate diverse spatio-temporal evolution trajectories in their sequential progress. Nevertheless, existing studies or practices still adhere to the static control measures. Excessive external constraints have constricted the towns' sustainable development in ESAs. To address the limitations of the current macro-static governance paradigm, this research develops a micro-development pattern recognition framework for towns in ESAs and suggests adaptive management and control strategies. An empirical analysis was conducted in the Baiyangdian region. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) The geographical variations in the ecosystem service structure of towns in the Baiyangdian region are pronounced. Furthermore, The high-value areas of ecosystem services are basically consistent with the pattern of Baiyangdian Wetland, and extend in a zonal pattern along the river system towards the west; (2) Transportation factors exert a crucial influence on the development dynamics of towns in the Baiyangdian region. This includes the distribution of the construction extent, which shows a decreasing trend from the transportation trunk lines to both sides, and the high-probability areas of construction are in proximity to the transportation trunk lines; (3) The micro-development pattern of towns was identified from the aspects of construction probability and construction degree. The proportion of advanced construction units is the highest, clustering around towns and expanding into the hinterland, while the proportion of potential construction units is the lowest, embedded within towns and wetlands; (4) Rainwater storage and regulation services, water conservation services, and water quality purification services will face relatively severe threats in the next 30 years, with Xiongzhou Town having the largest ecological risk patch area, while Santai Town and Xiaoli Town having the fastest expansion rate of ecological risk patches. Adaptive zoning management and control strategies for towns in the Baiyangdian region are proposed, based on eight types of micro-development pattern units (further divided by the comprehensive ecosystem service level). The study can provide a reference for optimizing the human-land system and related planning decisions in towns in ESAs.

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梁晨,赵倩一,王倩雯,赵孟烑.生态敏感区乡镇微观发展格局识别与适应性管控——以环白洋淀地区为例.生态学报,2025,45(6):2918~2931

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