三江源国家公园水源涵养服务时空演变特征及其驱动因素
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国家自然科学基金项目(42271251)


Spatiotemporal change and driving factors of water conservation in Sanjiangyuan National Park
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (42271251)

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    摘要:

    三江源国家公园是我国重要的生态屏障区,研究其水源涵养服务变化对区域生态保护、绿色发展与生态系统健康诊断等具有重要意义。基于参数地方化修正的InVEST模型,分析三江源国家公园2000—2022年水源涵养服务的时空变化特征,并利用逐像元相关和残差趋势方法辨识对其产生影响的驱动因素。结果表明:(1)2000—2022年三江源国家公园水源涵养量显著上升,变化速率为1.01亿m3/a,年平均水源涵养量为91.66亿m3。三江源国家公园体制的建立有助于水源涵养服务的提升,试点建立后(2016—2022年)水源涵养量增长速率高于试点建立前(2000—2016年)。地方化的Z参数可用于相似自然条件下的水源涵养研究。(2)水源涵养量空间上表现为东南高西北低的分布格局,高值区位于东南部澜沧江源园区,低值集中于国家公园北部,草原是区域水源涵养量的主要贡献地类。水源涵养极重要区和高度重要区占比小,多为各河流发源地。(3)三江源国家公园水源涵养服务与降水呈正相关、与蒸散发呈负相关,降水发挥着主导作用。2000—2022年间,气候要素对水源涵养服务的影响有所下降。(4)气候变化是驱动三江源国家公园水源涵养能力提升的重要因素,自2016年国家公园试点建立后,单一气候的积极影响区域占比从98.42%下降至82.44%。气候人类共同作用和单一人类活动的积极影响逐渐显现,说明国家公园的建设与生态保护对水源涵养起到积极作用,但仍存在气候变化与人类活动叠加引起的水源涵养能力下降现象。

    Abstract:

    Studying the changes in water conservation service (WC) in Sanjiangyuan National Park, an important ecological barrier area in China, is of great significance for regional ecological protection, green development, and ecosystem health diagnosis. This paper analyzes the spatial and temporal characteristics of WC in Sanjiangyuan National Park from 2000 to 2022 based on the InVEST model with parameter localization correction, and identifies the driving factors affecting them using image-by-image metric correlation and residual trend methods. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2022, the water conservation service (WC) volume in Sanjiangyuan National Park significantly increased, averaging 9.166 billion m3 annually, with a rate of change of 101 million m3/a. The establishment of the Sanjiangyuan National Park system contributed to the improvement of the WC, and the WC was improved after the establishment of the pilot project (2016-2022), the growth rate of water source nutrient quantity is higher than that before the establishment of the pilot project (2000-2016). The localized Z parameter can be used to study the WC under similar natural conditions. (2) The spatial distribution of water yield and WC capacity in Sanjiangyuan National Park was basically consistent, showing a distribution pattern of high in the southeast and low in the northwest, with the high-value area located in the Lancangjiang River Source Park and the low-value area mainly concentrated in the northern part of the national park. The WC capacity of different land use types varied widely, with grassland being the main contributor to regional WC, and the WC capacity of different land use types has improved since the establishment of the national park pilot in 2016. The western and northern parts of the study area were mainly generally important and more important WC areas, accounting for the largest proportion of the total area, and extremely important and highly important WC areas accounted for a small proportion, mostly for the headwaters of various rivers. (3) WC in Sanjiangyuan National Park was positively correlated with precipitation and negatively correlated with evapotranspiration, with precipitation playing a dominant role, and changes in the bias coefficients excluding precipitation were significantly stronger than the bias coefficients excluding evapotranspiration. The influence of climate factors on WC declined during the period of 2000-2022, and since the establishment of the pilot national park in 2016, the promotion effect of precipitation on WC and the inhibition effect of evapotranspiration on WC have weakened. (4) Climate change was an important factor driving the enhancement of WC in Sanjiangyuan National Park. Comparing the two stages before and after the proposal of the national park, the two types of climate promotion (98.42%) and anthropogenic suppression (1.58%) were manifested in 2000-2016, and the percentage of area of different driving types in 2016-2022, in descending order, were as follows: climate promotion (82.44%) > co-inhibition (14.57%) > co-promotion (1.85%) > climate suppression (0.66%) > anthropogenic promotion (0.46%) > anthropogenic suppression (0.03%). Following the establishment of the pilot national parks, the synergistic impacts of climate-human co-promotion and single human activities gradually appeared, and this part was also the area where human activities promoted the rapid growth of WC, indicating that the construction of national parks, ecological protection projects, and forbidden animal husbandry management played a positive role in WC.

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陶洁怡,章锦河,郭丽佳,王静玮,薛华菊.三江源国家公园水源涵养服务时空演变特征及其驱动因素.生态学报,2025,45(3):1226~1238

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