生态保护与乡村振兴双赢生态补偿标准的模拟与分析——以祁连山国家公园为例
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1.兰州大学经济学院;2.中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,干旱区生态安全与可持续发展全国重点实验室,祁连山同位素生态水文与国家公园观测研究站

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国家自然科学基金面上项目(42271288);国家自然科学基金区域发展联合基金重点项目(U22A20592);中国科学院青年交叉团队项目(JCTD-2022-18)。


Simulation and analysis of PES for a ‘win-win’ situation between ecological protection and rural revitalization: A case study of Qilian Mountain National Park
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School of Economics Lanzhou University

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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    生态补偿作为建设生态文明的重要制度保障和推进乡村振兴的重要机制,是实现国家公园生态保护与乡村振兴“双赢”目标的重要途径。其中,补偿标准的制定是实施“双赢”生态补偿机制的关键环节。文章以祁连山国家公园为例,将生态补偿标准纳入生态保护-乡村振兴复杂系统之中,通过构建系统动力学模型,将不同的发展情景和补偿标准相结合,仿真模拟生态保护-乡村振兴系统未来发展趋势,甄选更适合祁连山国家公园“双赢”目标实现的发展路径和生态补偿标准。研究发现:(1)通过发展路径规划和补偿标准优化,祁连山国家公园能够实现生态保护和乡村振兴“双赢”。在不同的发展情景中,综合协调情景为祁连山国家公园实现生态保护和乡村振兴“双赢”发展的最优方案,该情景能兼顾各子系统之间协调发展的同时,使生态环境和乡村振兴指数达到最大值。(2)综合协调情景下,当补偿标准区间为129.9—156.9元/hm2,为“双赢”目标实现下制定生态补偿标准的相对最优方案。(3)经济优先情景下,当补偿标准维持现状(128.55元/hm2)不变时,为制定生态补偿标准的相对最优方案。(4)延续现状和生态优先情景下,当补偿标准区间为131.1—190.95元/hm2,为制定生态补偿标准的相对最优方案。本文从系统视角剖析祁连山国家公园“双赢”的演化路径,在一定程度上可以避免做出片面的发展决策,研究结果不仅为祁连山国家公园体制建设和生态补偿政策实施提供行动指南,其研究思路和方案设计对其他国家公园实现“双赢”目标具有一定的借鉴意义。

    Abstract:

    As an important institutional guarantee for building an ecological civilization in China and an important mechanism for promoting rural revitalization, ecological compensation (PES) is an important way to achieve the "win-win" goals of ecological protection in national parks and rural revitalization. Among them, the formulation of PES standards is a key link in the implementation of the "win-win" ecological compensation mechanism. The paper takes Qilian Mountain National Park as an example, incorporates the PES standard into the complex system of ecological protection and rural revitalization, and simulates the future development trend of ecological protection and rural revitalization system by constructing the system dynamics (SD) model and combining different development scenarios and compensation standards, so as to select the development paths and PES standards that are more suitable for the Qilian Mountain National Park to achieve the goal of "win-win" and select a more suitable PES mechanism. The study found that: (1) Qilian Mountain National Park can achieve "win-win" development in ecological protection and rural revitalization through development path planning and PES standard optimization. Among the different development scenarios, the comprehensive coordination scenario is the optimal solution for Qilian Mountain National Park to realize the "win-win" development of ecological protection and rural revitalization, which can take into account the coordinated development of various subsystems and at the same time, make the ecological environment and rural revitalization index reach the maximum value. (2) Under the comprehensive coordination scenario, when the PES standard range is 129.9-156.9 yuan/hm2, it is the relative optimal solution for the PES standard under the "win-win" goal. (3) Under the economic priority scenario, when the PES standard maintains the status quo (128.55 yuan/hm2) unchanged, it is the relatively optimal solution for setting the PES standard. (4) Under the continuation of the status quo and ecological priority scenario, when the compensation standard range is 131.1-190.95 yuan/hm2, it is the relatively optimal plan for setting the PES standard. The paper analyzes the evolution path of "win-win" in Qilianshan National Park from a systemic perspective, to a certain extent, it can avoid making one-sided development decisions, and the results of the study not only provide a guide for the institutional construction of Qilianshan National Park and the implementation of ecological compensation policy, but also a reference point for the other national parks to achieve the goal of "win-win" in the research and program design. The results of the study not only provide guidelines for the construction of Qilian Mountain National Park and the implementation of PES policy, but also the research ideas and program design for other national parks to achieve the goal of "win-win" has a certain reference.

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胡潇月,邓晓红,李宗省.生态保护与乡村振兴双赢生态补偿标准的模拟与分析——以祁连山国家公园为例.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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