气候变化背景下生态系统服务研究的发展脉络、进展及展望
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1.北京工商大学计算机与人工智能学院,北京工商大学系统科学研究院,北京工商大学文化与旅游发展研究院,内蒙古自治区林业和草原监测规划院,内蒙古自治区草原遥感及应急技术储备重点实验室;2.北京工商大学计算机与人工智能学院,北京工商大学系统科学研究院,北京工商大学文化与旅游发展研究院,和田师范专科学校;3.北京工商大学文化与旅游发展研究院;4.内蒙古自治区林业和草原监测规划院,内蒙古自治区草原遥感及应急技术储备重点实验室;5.北京工商大学计算机与人工智能学院,北京工商大学系统科学研究院

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国家自然科学(42101470、72242106);新疆自然科学基金项目(2023D01A57);新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金面上项目(2023D01A57)


Research progress, evolution and prospect regarding ecosystem service in the context of climate change
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Department of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Beijing Technology and Business University, Beijing 100048, China

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    摘要:

    阐明气候变化对生态系统服务的影响,对于实现生态系统可持续发展至关重要。基于WoS(Web of Science)核心合集科学引文索引扩展数据库,根据CiteSpace软件绘制的知识图谱,对气候变化背景下生态系统服务研究的趋势、热点以及前沿进行了分析。结果表明,气候变化背景下生态系统服务的研究已成为学术界重要研究议题之一,学者们从多个视角探讨这一议题,该领域的研究热点和前沿处于动态变化中。已有研究主要从气候变化对生态系统服务影响的评估、对权衡与协同关系的影响、影响机制以及优化管理措施等四个方面展开。未来研究应多关注气候变化背景下生态系统服务的阈值效应及文化服务的变化,加强气候变化对生态系统服务相互关系影响的研究,厘清未来气候变化影响生态系统服务的机制,以及推动人工智能与大数据技术在管理模拟研究中的应用。用。

    Abstract:

    Clarifying the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services is pivotal for sustainable ecosystem development. Based on the Web of Science core collection science citation index expanded database and the knowledge graph drawn by CiteSpace software, this study analyzes the trends, hotspots, and cutting-edge aspects in the previous climate change-related ecosystem service research. The main results are listed as follows. Overall, this topic has emerged as a key topic of interest, attracting increasing attention. Scholars have explored this topic from multiple perspectives, including the impact of climate change on the supply of ecosystem services, the underlying mechanisms, and how to address climate change through the protection and management of ecosystems. Besides, this topic has revealed dynamic and continuously evolving trends, with the research focus transitioning from assessing the impact of climate change on ecosystem services to discussing how to manage ecosystems in the face of climate change. To date, significant progress has been made in assessing the impact of climate change on ecosystem services, identifying its influence on trade-offs and synergies, explaining the underlying mechanisms, and developing optimization management measures. Based on value equivalent approaches and models like InVEST, ecosystem services such as soil retention and habitat quality can be assessed. The trade-off and synergy relationships can be discerned from temporal and spatial dimensions. Climate change can directly and indirectly affect ecosystem services, which in turn have feedback effects on climate change. Through management, enhancing ecosystem resilience to climate change can thereby improve human well-being. However, there is an urgent need to deepen our understanding of the threshold effect of ecosystem services under climate change and to devote more attention to the response of cultural services using data from sources such as social media. Additionally, it is of great significance to analyze how climate change affects the multi relationships between different ecosystem services. Incorporating trade-offs and synergies into decision-making process is an essential prerequisite for achieving sustainable development. Moreover, it is necessary to understand the mechanism of the impact of future climate change on ecosystem services. This can be achieved by constructing a coupling relationship that links future climate scenarios, land use, and ecosystem services. Furthermore, one of the key challenges to be addressed is how to identify more effective management strategies and assess their efficiency within the constraints of limited funding. Simulation-based research on ecosystem service management using artificial intelligence and big data in a climate-changed world will be a beneficial tool for decision-making.

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刘羽,张珣,石金莲,刘爱军,韩芳,王瑜.气候变化背景下生态系统服务研究的发展脉络、进展及展望.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/10.5846/stxb202402080331

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