多功能指向下资源环境承载力与社会发展时空协调分析——以福建省县域为例
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1.福建师范大学文化旅游与公共管理学院;2.福建省平潭综合实验区行政审批局;3.福建师范大学社会历史学院;4.福建师范大学地理科学学院

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国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Spatial-temporal coordination analysis between resource-environmental carrying capacity and social development under multifunctional pointing in Fujian
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Affiliation:

1.School of Cultural Tourism and Public Administration,Fujian Normal University;2.Administrative Approval Bureau of Pingtan Comprehensive Experimental Zone;3.College of sociology and history,Fujian Normal University

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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    资源环境承载能力是区域资源环境与社会经济协调发展的重要连接点,是优化国土空间开发的重要基础。以福建省为例,系统构建符合南方山地丘陵区地域特色的资源环境承载能力与社会发展综合评价体系,运用耦合协调度模型、地理探测器,探究福建省在2010——2019年近10年规划发展下,生态、城镇、农业各功能指向的县域资源环境承载能力与社会发展本底水平、时空耦合协调状况及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)各功能指向下的资源环境承载力空间分布呈较大差异:生态导向结果为大面积中高值夹杂低值、城镇导向结果为“沿海高低值交错,内陆中低值交错”、农业导向结果自北向南逐渐递增;(2)社会发展水平总体呈现“东高西低”的空间分布特征,随着福建省全域积极协调发展,各县域社会发展水平差距逐年缩小;(3)2010——2019年各功能导向下县域资源环境承载力与社会发展两系统耦合协调度不断加强,呈现良性的正向促进作用,总体耦合协调度呈“东南高、西北低”的空间分布特征;(4)社会发展系统中的各影响因子在不同功能导向的资源环境承载能力与社会发展系统耦合协调结果中均具有较强解释力,同时各因子间的交互作用对两系统耦合协调结果的影响力均大于其单因子作用,且都表现为双因子或非线性增强。本研究为福建省未来资源环境与社会经济协调发展、国土空间合理开发利用提供相关理论支撑和借鉴。

    Abstract:

    Resource-environmental carrying capacity is a crucial link between regional resource-environmental sustainability and socioeconomic coordinated development. It is essential for ensuring the balanced development of both human activities and natural systems. Furthermore, it forms the foundation for optimizing the spatial development of national territories. This paper, using Fujian Province as an example, adopts the comprehensive evaluation method to systematically construct evaluation systems, that align with the geographical characteristics of the southern hilly region and mountainous areas. At the same time, it combines other methodologies such as coupling coordination model and geodetector to assess the basic status of resource-environmental carrying capacity and levels of social development in each county. Based on these, this paper also analyses the spatial-temporal dynamics of coupling coordination of resource-environmental carrying capacity and social development. Using geodetector analysis, this paper explores the impact factors that associated with these two interrelated systems after the decade-long period development. The results show that: (1) The spatial distribution of resource-environmental carrying capacity across Fujian Province shows significant variation depending on the orientation of the resource utilization. Under the ecological orientation, counties exhibit a wide distribution of medium values, with interspersed high values and low values. Spatial pattern of urban-oriented carrying capacity reveals a more complex pattern, with high values and low values distributed unevenly along the eastern coastal counties, reflecting the region's rapid urbanization. In contrast, the agricultural oriented result displays a gradual increase from north to south in general; (2) The overall spatial distribution of social development levels is characterized by higher levels on the eastern coastal region and a lower level in the western interior. With the active collaborative development of Fujian Province, the gap in the level of social development among counties has been narrowing year by year; (3) Over the period from 2010 to 2019, the degree of coupling coordination between resource-environmental carrying capacity and social development level of different orientation in each county has been continuously strengthened. This indicates a positive and synergistic relationship between these two systems, with both benefiting from mutually reinforcing development trends. Coupling coordination result of these two systems shows a spatial pattern of high in the southeast and lower in the northwest regions; (4) Influence factors of the social development system have a stronger explanatory power in determining the coupling coordination results of different orientations than the factors associated with resource-environmental carrying capacity. Interactions among influence factors have a greater effect on the coupling coordination result than that of a single factor and all of them are bi-factorial or non-linearly enhanced, meaning that the combined influence of different variables can produce greater outcomes than would be expected from their isolated impacts. It indicates that the coupling coordination of the two systems is the result of the interaction of multiple factors. Ultimately, the findings of this research aim to offer theoretical support for the coordinated development of regional resource-environment and socioeconomic systems, providing a reference for optimizing land utilization and resource management in Fujian Province in the years to come.

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施雯婷,孙阳,王佳韡,林小标,伍世代.多功能指向下资源环境承载力与社会发展时空协调分析——以福建省县域为例.生态学报,,(). http://dx. doi. org/[doi]

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