城市绿地碳储存城乡差异及其驱动因素——以武汉市建成区为例
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国家自然科学基金(72174158,72474164);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2042023kf0222)


Urban-rural differences and driving factors of urban green space carbon storage: a case study of the built-up areas in Wuhan
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National Natural Science Foundation of China (72174158, 72474164); the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China ( 2042023kf0222)

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    摘要:

    在全球气候变化背景下,城市绿地碳储存在减缓大气CO2浓度方面发挥至关重要的作用。然而,在城乡梯度视角下,城市绿地碳储存的城乡差异及其潜在原因仍不清楚。以武汉市建成区为例,结合实地调查、遥感技术和机器学习构建城市绿地碳储量测度模型,评估了城市绿地碳储存的空间格局;其次采用直接和间接影响分离法,揭示了城市绿地碳储存在动态城乡梯度上的城乡差异;最后,结合相关分析和回归分析探索了引起城市绿地碳储存城乡差异的潜在驱动因素。结果显示:(1)2022年,武汉市建成区内城市绿地面积1677 km2,占研究区总面积的36.78%。城市绿地碳储存总量为10906 Gg(1Gg=109 g),呈现出由城市核心区向郊区放射式增加的空间格局。城市绿地碳密度在0至383 Mg C/hm2之间,平均碳密度为23.92 Mg C/hm2。(2)在城乡梯度上,随着城市化强度的增加,城市绿地碳储量呈现出线性下降的趋势。在分离城市化对城市绿地碳储量的直接消极影响后,其间接影响随着城市化强度的增加呈现“V”型变化趋势,即先减少再增加。当城市化强度高于0.9时,城市化对城市绿地碳储量的间接影响由消极效应转变为积极效应。(3)城市绿地碳储量受到城市绿地系统内部性状(即景观结构)和外部环境(即气候变化和人类活动)的共同驱动。在整体城乡梯度上,平均形状指数、景观分离度、Shannon多样性、气温、降水和距道路距离与城市绿地碳储量正相关,斑块面积百分比、地表温度、人口密度、PM2.5和夜间灯光与城市绿地碳储量负相关。相比于景观结构和气候变化,人类活动是影响城市绿地碳储量城乡差异的关键驱动因素,特别是地表温度和夜间灯光。然而,这种相关关系和影响强度在不同的城市化强度区间上有所差异。研究为制定切实可行的城市绿地景观设计和管理策略提供了一定的理论和数据支持,有助于实现城市“碳中和”和未来城市的可持续发展。

    Abstract:

    Urban green space carbon storage plays a critical role in mitigating the atmospheric CO2 concentrations and addressing global climate changes. Nevertheless, the disparities in urban green space carbon storage between urban and rural areas, and their causes, remain poorly understood. In this study, using Wuhan's built-up area as a case example, we developed a model to measure urban green space carbon storage and assess its spatial distribution by combining field surveys, remote sensing, and machine learning. Additionally, the direct and indirect separation method was employed to reveal the urban-rural disparity in carbon storage within urban green spaces along the dynamic urban-rural gradients. Furthermore, the underling factors driving the urban-rural differences of urban green space carbon storage were quantified by using correlation and regression analysis. The results showed that: 1) In 2022, the area of urban green space in the built-up areas of Wuhan was 1677 km2, accounting for 36.78% of the total study area. Carbon storage stored in the urban green spaces was 10906 Gg (1 Gg=109 g), showing a radial increase from urban cores to the suburbs. The urban green space carbon density ranged from 0 to 383 Mg C/hm2, with an average density of 23.92 Mg C/hm2. 2) Urban green space carbon storage decreased linearly with increasing urbanization intensity, aligning with the urban-rural gradient. After separating the direct impact of urbanization on urban green space carbon storage, its indirect impact was typically V-shaped (a decrease followed by an increase) with the increase of urbanization intensity. When the urbanization intensity exceeded 0.9, the indirect impacts of urbanization on urban green space carbon storage shifted from negative to positive effects. 3) Urban green space carbon storage was influenced by both the internal characteristics (i.e., landscape structure) and the external environment (i.e., climate change and human activities) of the urban green space system. On the overall urban-rural gradient, Mean Shape Index, Landscape Division Index, Shannon's Diversity Index, temperature, precipitation, and distance from roads were positively correlated with urban green space carbon storage. Conversely, percent of Landscape, land surface temperature, population density, PM2.5, and night lights were negatively correlated with urban green space carbon storage. Compared with landscape structure and climate change, human activities were the key driving factors driving the urban-rural differences of urban green spaces carbon storage. Specifically impacting factors include land surface temperature and nighttime lights. However, these correlations and impact strengths varied across different levels of urbanization intensity. Overall, our findings provide scientific support for urban decision makers to formulate practical strategies for urban green spaces landscape design and management. This will help achieve urban "carbon neutrality" and sustainable development of future cities.

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柳明星,罗巧灵,黄荣鋆,周俊方.城市绿地碳储存城乡差异及其驱动因素——以武汉市建成区为例.生态学报,2024,44(24):11419~11436

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