社会-生态系统视角下快速城市化地区生态风险评价与管控分区——以江苏省为例
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国家自然科学基金项目(41971234,41971235)


Ecological risk assessment and management zoning in rapid urbanization areas from the perspective of social-ecological system: a case study of Jiangsu Province
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    快速城市化地区是经济增长、社会进步和人口聚集的重要区域,但城市化进程中剧烈的土地利用变化、大规模城镇建设、人口集聚和资源消耗等问题使其面临严峻的生态风险,开展生态风险评价与管控研究对区域生态文明建设和高质量发展至关重要。引入社会-生态系统框架诠释生态风险形成机理,构建了基于“内生性-外源性-控制性”的生态风险评估框架,结合多源数据对2000-2020年江苏省生态风险时空特征进行测度,综合考虑生态风险现状和变化趋势划定生态风险分区,并针对性地提出区域生态风险预防和治理策略。研究结果显示:(1)社会-生态系统理论有助于深化对快速城市化地区生态风险的认识,基于快速城市化地区生态风险源头复杂、受体多元、表现多样的特征,构建集成“内生性-外源性-控制性”的生态风险解析框架,可为快速城市化地区的生态风险诊断和管控发挥积极作用;(2)近20a江苏省内生性生态风险和外源性生态风险有所增加,控制性生态风险略有降低,综合生态风险呈现“南高北低”“西高东低”的特点,高值区主要分布在经济发达、人口密集的城镇中心以及环境敏感区,且风险普遍有所上升,低值区主要分布在水域湿地、大城市郊区以及主要的交通线路;(3)研究期内江苏省生态风险持续下降型、波动下降型、稳定型、波动上升型和持续上升型占比分别为18.79%、2.96%、57.95%、15.88%、4.41%,并可据此将生态风险管控分区划分为生态风险紧急管控区、严格管控区、动态调控区、预防管理区、敏感监控区等5类分区,各区比例分别为12.05%、2.19%、64.42%、16.11%、5.22%。本研究可为解析和评估快速城市化地区的生态风险提供新的视角和方法,并为快速城市化地区的生态风险管理提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Rapid urbanization areas are significant regions for economic growth, social progress, and population aggregation. However, they face severe ecological risks due to drastic changes in land use, large-scale urban construction, population concentration, and resource consumption in the process of urbanization. Conducting research on ecological risk assessment and management control is crucial for regional ecological civilization construction and high-quality development. Therefore, in this paper, the society-ecology system framework is introduced to explain the formation mechanism of ecological risk, and an ecological risk assessment framework based on "endogenous-exogenous-control" is constructed, the spatial and temporal characteristics of ecological risk in Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2020 were measured based on multi-source data. In the end, the paper considers the current situation and changing trend of ecological risk, and puts forward regional ecological risk prevention and management strategies. The research findings are as follows: (1) The theory of the social-ecological system is helpful in deepening the understanding of ecological risks in rapid urbanization areas. Based on the characteristics of complex sources, multi-receptor, and diverse expression of ecological risk in rapid urbanization areas, an analytical framework of ecological risk integrating "endogenous-exogenous-control" was constructed, it can play an active role in the diagnosis and management of ecological risks in the rapid urbanization areas. (2) In the past 20 years, the endogenous and exogenous ecological risks in Jiangsu Province were increased, while the controlled ecological risks were slightly decreased. The integrated ecological risk was characterized by "high in the south and low in the north, high in the west and low in the east", the high-value areas are mainly located in economically developed, densely populated urban centres and environmentally sensitive areas, and the risks have generally increased, the low-value areas were mainly distributed in the water wetland, the suburbs of big cities, and the areas along the main traffic routes. (3) In the ecological risk types in Jiangsu Province during the study period, the percentages of continuously decreasing, fluctuating decreasing, stabilizing, fluctuating increasing, and continuously increasing were 18.79%, 2.96%, 57.95%, 15.88% and 4.41%, respectively. Based on this, the ecological risk management and control zones can be divided into five categories: ecological risk emergency management and control zones, strict management and control zones, dynamic regulation zones, preventive management zones, and sensitive monitoring zones, and the proportion of each area was 12.05%, 2.19%, 64.42%, 16.11%, 5.22%, respectively. In a word, this study provides a new perspective and method for analyzing and assessing ecological risks in rapid urbanization areas and also provides a reference for ecological risk management in rapid urbanization areas.

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张辛欣,金晓斌,梁坤宇,韩博,王世磊,朱文洁,梁鑫源,周寅康.社会-生态系统视角下快速城市化地区生态风险评价与管控分区——以江苏省为例.生态学报,2024,44(18):8138~8149

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