北京市生态系统服务价值时空变化及其驱动力
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国家自然科学基金(41101540)


Spatio-temporal variation and driving factors of ecosystem services value in Beijing
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    摘要:

    人类活动主导的土地利用变化改变了生态系统的结构和功能,影响了生态系统服务水平。评估生态系统服务价值是合理配置自然资源和生态环境保护的重要基础。以北京市域为研究范围,基于2003年、2010年2022年三期遥感影像解译数据,采用当量因子法、空间自相关分析等方法,分析了两轮城市总体规划以来,1km×1km网格下的全市生态系统服务价值的空间分布和变化特征,并利用地理探测器研究了生态系统服务价值空间异质性的驱动力因素。研究结果发现:(1)研究时段内全市生态系统服务价值变化特征与非建设用地组分变化相对应,出现了先下降后上升的趋势,其总量增加了109.46亿元,林地和水域的增加是生态系统服务价值提升的关键;(2)从生态系统服务四大类型的价值看,调节功能 > 支持功能 > 供给功能 > 文化功能,调节服务是北京市生态系统的主导功能;(3)从空间分布看,生态系统服务价值呈现西北高、东南低的空间格局,而且全市生态系统服务价值表现为正相关和空间聚集分布,局部表现为高-高、低-低集聚;生态系统服务价值热点地区主要集中于大型湿地水域, 生态系统服务价值冷点分布范围在逐渐向市中心城区收缩;(4)生态系统服务价值空间异质性受到自然地理和社会经济的共同作用,其中气温的贡献最大,双因子间的耦合作用增强了对生态系统服务价值空间分布的解释力。研究揭示了城市土地利用变化过程中生态系统服务的时空变化规律及其驱动力。提出了提升生态系统服务价值的非建设用地管理建议,可为自然资源的可持续利用提供重要参考。

    Abstract:

    The transformation of land use induced by human activities has significantly altered the structure and functionality of ecosystems, thereby impacting the overall level of ecosystem services. The assessment of ecosystem services value serves (ESV) is crucial for the rational allocation of natural resources and environmental protection, helping policymakers and stakeholders understand the trade-offs associated with different land use decisions and promotes strategies that can enhance or maintain the benefits ecosystems provide to human well-being. Focusing on the Beijing metropolitan area, this study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the spatial distribution and temporal variations in the overall ecosystem services value at the 1 km×1 km grid level, leveraging data from three phases of remote sensing image interpretation (2003, 2010, and 2022). Employing methodologies such as the equivalent factor method and spatial autocorrelation analysis, the research explores the impact of the two rounds of citywide master plans on ESV. Furthermore, the geo-detector, a spatial analysis tool is applied to explore the driving factors behind the spatial heterogeneity of ESV. The results show that: (1) Throughout the study period, the characteristics of overall ESV changes in the city corresponded to variations in non-construction land components, exhibiting a trend of initial decline followed by an increase. Specifically, the total ESV increased by 10.946 billion yuan, indicating a substantial enhancement in the provision of ecosystem services. The expansion of forested and aquatic areas emerged as a pivotal factor contributing to the augmentation of ecosystem service value. (2) Over time, the values of the four predominant types of ecosystem services show a gradual decrease in the following order: regulatory services, supporting services, provisioning services, and cultural services. Consequently, regulatory services emerge as the dominant function of the ecosystem. (3) Spatially, ESV exhibits a northwest-high, southeast-low pattern, demonstrating positive correlation and spatial aggregation throughout the city. Local patterns show high-high and low-low aggregation, with ESV hotspots primarily concentrat in extensive wetland areas, while cold spots gradually contract toward the city center. This spatial distribution highlights the importance of preserving and enhancing green spaces and water bodies in urban planning to maintain and boost ecosystem services. (4) The spatial heterogeneity of ESV is influenced by both natural geographical and socio-economic factors, with temperature exerting the most significant impact. The synergistic effects between these factors enhance the explanatory power for ESV. This study unveils the temporal and spatial patterns of changes in ecosystem services during urban land use transformations and their driving forces, providing crucial insights for sustainable urban development. It also offers management recommendations for enhancing ESV, which are vital for the sustainable utilization and management of natural resources.

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张剑飞,阳文锐,李晶晶,沈守云,马力,陈亮.北京市生态系统服务价值时空变化及其驱动力.生态学报,2025,45(1):306~318

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