损益内化与横纵结合视角下中国省际碳生态补偿机制
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广东省社会科学基金项目(GD23CYJ15);广东省普通高校创新团队项目(人文社科)(2023WCXTD014);国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA004)


Inter-provincial carbon ecological compensation mechanism from the perspective of carbon loss-profit and horizontal-vertical integration in China
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    摘要:

    中国省域生态禀赋与经济发展不均衡的现实,要求建立促进生态产品价值实现的生态补偿机制。基于地区碳排放与碳汇的基本事实,将各省碳损益分解为“域间”和“域内”两大构成;在消费地排放责任追溯与生产地补偿标准的原则下,采取横纵结合的补偿方式,对中国省际生态补偿展开研究,主要结论如下:①地区排放与碳汇估算显示,内需排放长期占地区排放的七成以上,省际排放责任主要来源于“自产自销”的生产消费行为;全国年碳汇稳定在2500-2600mt之间,林地、耕地是碳汇形成的主要来源。②碳损益估算表明,域间碳损益存在三种典型地区类型:以云南、青海等为代表的域间碳平衡地区;以山东、广东等为代表的域间碳盈余地区;以江苏、上海等为代表的域间碳赤字地区。域内碳损益呈现出明显的资源性与经济性特征,生态资源充沛的内蒙古、新疆等地多为域内碳盈余地区,经济发达的江苏、广东等地多为域内碳赤字地区。③行业减排成本与地区补偿标准估算表明,减排成本较高的行业多为低碳行业,而减排成本较低的行业普遍为高碳行业;经济技术发达地区补偿标准较高,经济技术欠发达地区补偿标准较低。④地区补偿呈现两大特征,一是补偿规模增长迅速,研究期内全国补偿总量增长了3.46倍;二是补偿空间结构由东部地区补偿,西部地区受偿向不具有整体性的“碎片化”格局演化。

    Abstract:

    The imbalance between ecological endowments and economic development across China's provincial domains necessitates the establishment of an ecological compensation mechanism to promote the realization of ecological product values. This paper, based on the actual conditions of regional emissions and carbon sinks in China, decomposes the carbon gains and losses for each province into two primary components: inter-regional and intra-regional. Under the principles of tracing consumption-based emission responsibilities back to their sources and establishing compensation standards at production locations, a combined horizontal and vertical compensation approach is adopted to investigate inter-provincial ecological compensation in China. The main results are as follows: (1) Estimates of regional emissions and carbon sinks indicate that domestic demand-driven emissions have persistently accounted for over 70% of regional emissions, with inter-provincial emission responsibilities mainly stemming from self-sufficient production-consumption activities within provinces. Nationally, annual carbon sinks consistently range between 2500-2600 million metric tons, with forestlands and croplands being the principal sources. (2) Carbon gain and loss assessments reveal three typical regional types concerning inter-regional carbon balance: regions like Yunnan and Qinghai representing areas of inter-regional carbon neutrality; provinces such as Shandong and Guangdong exemplifying inter-regional carbon surplus regions; while Jiangsu and Shanghai standing for inter-regional carbon deficit areas. Intra-regional carbon dynamics exhibit clear resource-based and economic characteristics, with ecologically abundant regions like the Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang predominantly experiencing intra-regional carbon surpluses, whereas economically advanced regions like Jiangsu and Guangdong often suffering from intra-regional carbon deficits. (3) Estimations of industry-specific carbon reduction costs and regional compensation standards suggest that industries with higher carbon reduction costs tend to be low-carbon sectors, while those with lower carbon reduction costs typically belong to high-carbon industries. Technologically and economically advanced regions generally set higher compensation standards, while less-developed regions adopt lower ones. (4) The regional compensation demonstrates two distinct characteristics: first, there is a rapid growth in the scale of compensation, with the total national compensation volume increasing by 3.46 times during the research period; second, the spatial structure of compensation has evolved from a pattern where eastern regions compensate western regions to a fragmented configuration that lacks overall unity. The policy implications of this article are as follows: First, promoting the mechanism construction of tracing compensation responsibility of "consumption areas" and selecting compensation standards of "production areas". The compensation responsibility should be borne by the place where the products are consumed, and the regional compensation relationships should be constructed accordingly. When selecting compensation standards, the compensation standards should be chosen based on where the products are produced to calculate the compensation. Second, promoting the construction of a carbon ecological compensation model combining horizontal and vertical compensation. Horizontal compensation is committed to compensating for the interests with clear ecological profits and losses, while vertical compensation mainly aims to adjust the interests with unclear ecological profits and losses.

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吴立军,张捷,刘莹.损益内化与横纵结合视角下中国省际碳生态补偿机制.生态学报,2024,44(16):7020~7035

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