国家重点森林生态功能区产业生态化水平测度与产业-生态的协调发展
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国家自然科学基金项目(41171433);黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(D2018003)


Measurement of industrial ecological level and industry-ecology coordinated development in national key forest ecological function zones
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan);The National Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province (General Program)

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    摘要:

    以9个国家重点森林生态功能区作为实证研究区域,构建产业化和生态化两个子系统及产业生态化系统发展水平评价指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、剪刀差模型、耦合度模型、Dagum基尼系数和MGWR模型等方法,从县域尺度测度生态功能区建设12年来产业化水平、生态化水平及产业生态化水平发展变化,分析产业化、生态化两个子系统协调发展水平、发展速度差异及动态演化趋势,剖析影响产业生态化发展因素为产业生态化健康发展提供科学支撑。结果表明:(1)12年间产业生态化呈低水平的小幅上升态势,9个功能区间的最大差距呈先下降后上升的波动发展态势。不同功能区间产业生态化水平及产业化水平、生态化水平差异均较大,不同功能区产业生态化水平发展变化的主要内部动因存在较大差异;产业化水平和生态化水平总体均呈小幅上升态势,产业化总体水平低于生态化水平,9个功能区间的最大差距均呈先下降收敛后上升发散的态势;产业生态化、产业化、生态化水平均表现为前一阶段增长快于后一阶段,且后一阶段增速下滑幅度大。(2)12年间产业化与生态化系统二者协调度实现由初级协调到中级协调的提升,9个功能区间协调水平最大差距呈持续上升发展态势。186个县域样本总体协调水平分布呈以初级、中级协调为主,濒临失调、勉强协调和良好协调县份少的"纺锤"形态;产业化增长速率快于生态化增长速率,产业化与生态化发展速率的剪刀差呈小幅下降态势,产业化与生态化发展间差异逐渐缩小,趋向于共同发展阶段。(3)城镇化率、人口密度、人均城乡居民储蓄存款余额、第三产业增加值/第二产业增加值、财政自给率、城镇居民人均可支配收入、每万人医院和卫生院床位数对产业生态化水平呈正向影响,且城镇化率为影响产业生态化水平的正向主导因素。

    Abstract:

    Using 9 national key forest ecological function zones as empirical research areas, an evaluation index system for industrial ecological level is constructed from two subsystems of industrialization and ecology. Entropy method, coupling coordination model, scissors difference model, coupling degree model, Dagum Gini coefficient, and MGWR model are used to measure the industrialization level, ecological level, industrial ecological level and industrial ecological changes of ecological function zones in the past 12 years at the county level. We analyze the coordinated development level, difference in development speed, and dynamic evolution trend of industrialization and ecology systems, and analyze the factors that affect the development of industrial ecology to provide scientific support for the healthy development of industrial ecology. The results indicate that: (1) the industrial ecology has shown a low level and slight upward trend over the past 12 years, The largest gap in the nine function zones showed a fluctuating development trend of first decreasing and then increasing. There are significant differences in the ecological level, industrialization level, and ecological level of industries in different function zones, There are significant differences in the main internal drivers of the development and changes in the ecological level of industries in different function zones. The overall level of industrialization and ecology has shown a slight upward trend. The overall level of industrialization is lower than the ecological level, with the largest gaps in the 9 function zones showing a trend of first decreasing, converging, and then rising and diverging. The average performance of industrial ecology, industrialization, and ecological level is that the growth rate in the previous stage is faster than that in the later stage, and the growth rate in the latter stage has decreased significantly. (2) Over the past 12 years, the coordination between industrialization and ecological systems has improved from primary coordination to intermediate coordination, with the largest gap in coordination between the nine function zones showing a continuous upward trend. The overall coordination level distribution of 186 county samples is mainly in the form of primary and intermediate coordination, with few "spindle" counties on the brink of imbalance, barely coordination, and good coordination; The growth rate of industrialization is faster than that of ecological development, and the scissors difference between industrialization and ecological development rates showed a small downward trend. The difference between industrialization and ecological development gradually narrowed, tending towards a common development stage. (3) The urbanization rate, population density, per capita savings deposit balance of urban and rural residents, added value of the tertiary industry/added value of the secondary industry, fiscal self-sufficiency rate, per capita disposable income of urban residents, and the number of beds in hospitals and health centers per 10000 people had a positive impact on the level of industrial ecology, and the urbanization rate was the positive leading factor affecting the level of industrial ecology.

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张旖琳,吴相利,王丽敏.国家重点森林生态功能区产业生态化水平测度与产业-生态的协调发展.生态学报,2024,44(14):5985~6002

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