延河流域生态系统服务权衡/协同关系阈值效应
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国家自然科学基金项目(U2243204);甘肃省自然科学基金项目(23JRRM0757);甘肃省教育科技创新项目(2024A-108);陇东学院博士基金计划项目(XYBYZK2406)


Threshold effects of trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services in the Yanhe Basin
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    摘要:

    生态系统服务权衡/协同关系的变化为生态系统管理带来很大的挑战。随着生态服务的提升,不同服务间的权衡或协同关系可能发生非线性变化,即存在阈值效应。基于1990-2020年的遥感数据、野外观测和实地调查数据,结合生态学和地统计学方法,模拟了固碳、产水、土壤保持和粮食生产等四种生态系统服务。基于相关性分析和空间统计学方法,对生态系统服务的时空权衡和协同作用进行了量化。最后,利用断点分析法提取了生态系统服务的阈值。结果表明:(1)固碳、产水、土壤保持和粮食生产四种生态系统服务均呈先减后增的变化趋势,总体上以增加为主;(2)生态系统服务之间的协同关系减弱,而权衡关系增强;(3)随着生态系统服务的增加,服务之间的权衡或协同关系多存在阈值效应。例如,产水量在150 t/hm2 左右时,与固碳的协同关系转为权衡,而与粮食生产的权衡关系转为协同。将生态系统服务控制在一定的阈值范围内,有助于生态系统服务的协同发展,为可持续的生态系统管理提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Trade-offs and synergistic relationships among ecosystem service pose a significant challenge to ecosystem service management. With the enhancement of ecosystem services, trade-offs or synergies between different ecosystem services may change nonlinearly, i.e., threshold effects. Herein, remove sensing data, field observation data and field survey data have been collected from 1990 to 2020. Four ecosystem services, such as carbon sequestration, water production, soil conservation and food production have been quantified based on the CASA (Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach), the InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs ), the CSLE (China Soil Lose Equation) and the PD (Pixel decomposition) model, respectively. The spatial and temporal trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services were quantified based on correlation analysis and spatial statistics methods. Finally, the thresholds of ecosystem services were extracted using breakpoint analysis. The results showed as follows: (1) All four ecosystem services, namely carbon sequestration, water production, soil conservation and food production, showed a trend of decreasing and then increasing, with an overall increase. In particular, the average annual carbon sequestration of the Yanhe basin is about 200-450 g C/m2, and the increase in carbon sequestration is the largest compared with other ecosystem services. However, the increase of carbon sequestration service is not the result from expansion of vegetation coverage but the improvement of vegetation quality. (2) There are high synergistic relationships among carbon sequestration, water production and soil conservation in the Yanhe basin, and all three have trade-off relationships with food production. In general, the synergistic relationship is weakening and the trade-off relationship is increasing in the Yanhe basin. At the same time, there is a scale effect in this relationship, which gradually strengthens or weakens or even reverses as the scale increases. (3) Most relationships among ecosystem services existed threshold effects with the increase of ecosystem services. For example, at water yields around 150 t/hm2, its synergistic relationship with carbon sequestration shifts to a trade-off, while its trade-off relationship with food production shifts to a synergistic one. When ecosystem services are small, fewer resources are needed to maintain such services, resulting in services that tend to exhibit synergistic relationships with each other. When ecosystem services increase further, the demand for various resources also gradually increases, leading to a weakening of synergistic relationships and even a shift from synergistic to trade-off relationships. Controlling ecosystem services within certain thresholds can help the synergistic development of ecosystem services and provide a reference for sustainable ecosystem management.

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张建香,汪亚峰,张耀宗,刘艳艳,王东,李旭升,唐述林.延河流域生态系统服务权衡/协同关系阈值效应.生态学报,2024,44(23):10573~10581

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