我国东北生态系统服务供需匹配关系——基于水-能源-粮食纽带视角
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国家社会科学基金重点项目(19AJY010)


Matching relationship between supply and demand of ecosystem services from the perspective of water-energy-food nexus in Northeast China
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Key projects of the National Social Science Foundation(19AJY010)

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    摘要:

    水、能源和粮食是人类生存发展的必要基础物资,其供给均主要源于生态系统。随着全球气候变化和人类社会经济快速发展,基础资源需求量激增,生态系统服务供需关系趋于紧张。厘清生态系统服务供需匹配关系、优化基础资源配置对生态系统可持续、协调发展具有重要意义。当前生态系统供需关系研究已较为广泛,但基于水-能源-粮食纽带的生态系统服务研究还相对较为缺乏。因此,以东北地区为例,基于水-能源-粮食关系视角,首先,借助InVEST模型、供需指数(SDI)、Spearman相关性分析等方法分析了产水(WY)、固碳(CS)和粮食(FP)供需服务时空格局、相关性和空间匹配模式;其次,基于省级、市级、县级、流域、格网5种不同空间尺度,进一步探究了各服务的空间尺度效应,并确定资源管理的最优空间尺度;最后依据“分区控制-分类策略-分级治理”理念提出了一种水-能源-粮食集成管理方案和政策建议。研究结果表明:(1)2000-2020年,东北地区的供给服务中WY和FP为上升态势、CS为下降态势,就空间分布来看,WY和CS大致为“东高西低”,FP则是“西南、东北高,西北、东南低”;需求服务中WY、CS和FP均为上升态势,空间上大致呈“中间高四周低”分布。(2) WY和FP的SDI上升,CS则相反;不同尺度下的SDI具有空间异质性,县域尺度最为显著。(3) FP为主要功能分区,重点管控为主要分类,亟待全面提升生态系统服务供给能力。本研究对区域基础资源合理配置和可持续的生态系统管理具有重要科学参考价值和现实意义,同时对东北地区生态系统供需服务匹配以及水-能源-粮食纽带协同发展具有重要意义。

    Abstract:

    Water, energy and food are essential basic materials for human survival and development, and the supply mainly comes from ecosystems. With global climate change and rapid human socio-economic development, the demand for essential resources has surged, and the relationship between the supply and demand of ecosystem services has become tense. Clarifying the matching relationship between supply and demand of ecosystem services and optimizing the allocation of primary resources are significant to ecosystems' sustainable and coordinated development. The research on the relationship between ecosystem supply and demand has been extensive. However, the research on ecosystem services based on the water-energy-food nexus still needs to be completed. Taking Northeast China as an example, this paper firstly analyzed the spatiotemporal pattern, correlation and spatial matching patterns of water yield (WY), carbon sequestration (CS) and food provision (FP) supply and demand services by InVEST model, supply and demand index (SDI), and Spearman correlation analysis based on the perspective of the water-energy-food nexus. Secondly, based on five different spatial scales of provincial, municipal, county, watershed and grid, we further explored the spatial scale effect of each service. We determined the optimal spatial scale of resource management. Finally, according to the concept of "zoning control-classification strategy-hierarchical governance", an integrated water-energy-food management scheme and policy suggestions were proposed. The results showed that (1) From 2000 to 2020, WY and FP rose, and CS declined in the supply of services in Northeast China. Regarding spatial distribution, WY and CS were roughly high in the east and low in the west, and FP was high in the southwest and northeast, low in the northwest and southeast. WY, CS and FP were all on the rise in demand services, and the spatial distribution was roughly " high in the middle and low in the four sides. (2) The SDI of WY and FP rose, while CS was the opposite. SDI had spatial heterogeneity at different scales, with county scale being the most significant. (3) FP was the central functional division, and key management and control was the primary classification. It was urgent to improve the supply capacity of ecosystem services comprehensively. The study has crucial scientific reference value and practical significance for rationally allocating regional primary resources and sustainable ecosystem management. At the same time, the study is of great significance for the matching of ecosystem supply and demand services and the coordinated development of water-energy-food nexus in Northeast China.

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安志英,孙才志,郝帅.我国东北生态系统服务供需匹配关系——基于水-能源-粮食纽带视角.生态学报,2024,44(10):4170~4186

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